Odaily星球日报讯 互换合约显示，市场预计美联储 11 月降息 25 个基点的可能性达到 100%。（金十）

市场预计美联储11月降息25个基点的可能性达到100%

Odaily Odaily News Swap contracts show that the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November with a 100% chance. (Jinshi)

Markets expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November with a 100% chance

Odaily Odaily reported that according to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 99.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.6%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by August is 91.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 8.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.1%. (Jinshi)

The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged before the release of US CPI data is 99.4%.

Odaily Odaily reported that the annual rate of the US core CPI in May was 3.4%, lower than the expected level of 3.5%, the lowest level since April 2021. Traders expect the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates to increase. (Jinshi)

U.S. core CPI falls to three-year low as traders expect the Fed to cut interest rates

The Fed added a sentence to its statement after its last meeting on May 1: "further progress" in bringing inflation back to the central bank's 2% target. If the May inflation report released on Wednesday shows further signs of improvement, the Fed may remove this sentence from the statement. This would be an encouraging sign that policymakers may cut the benchmark interest rate within a few months. However, most economists believe that a rate cut is unlikely before September at the earliest. (ABCNEWS)