Join the community and add WeChat: zknu758
There is no threshold to join the community, no fees, no exchange recommendation, daily sharing of potential currencies within the group, and market analysis!
What is the terminal interest rate?
The determination of the terminal interest rate is based on the Fed's comprehensive assessment of the economic situation, including the following key factors:
Inflation: One of the main goals of the Federal Reserve is to maintain price stability, that is, to maintain an inflation rate of around 2%. If the inflation rate is too high, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates to a certain terminal rate to curb inflation; conversely, if the inflation rate is too low, the terminal rate may be lower.
Economic growth: The rate of economic growth also affects the setting of the terminal interest rate. Strong economic growth may require higher interest rates to prevent the economy from overheating, while weak economic growth may require lower interest rates to stimulate economic activity.
Employment conditions: The Fed also monitors the job market. High employment and low unemployment are usually associated with higher interest rates, while high unemployment may require lower interest rates to support employment.
Global economic environment: Global economic uncertainty and monetary policies of other major economies will also affect the Federal Reserve's terminal interest rate decision.
When will interest rates be cut?
Currently, all players in the circle are paying attention to the issue of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut. The interest rate cut means that economic development is moving in a good direction.
After the data was released last week, the market speculation about a rate cut suddenly died down, because the data was all stable and there were no major adjustments or optimism.
Then people will pay more attention to when the interest rate will be cut.
Currently, the terminal interest rate shows data on September 18. As of now, the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut is 48.3%, which is higher than the probability of 525-550 for no interest rate cut. This is the most important turning point at present.
So regarding the issue of interest rate cuts, I think the probability of a rate cut in September is the highest.
Will June be a bloody battle?
First of all, the market volatility in June may be very large. In the futures market, the main force options market is very bullish. The current most important option position is trading on the 628 exercise date, and its biggest pain point is US$55,000.
The nominal amount of the option positions on June 28 was US$6.564 billion, and the number of call options was 65,800, worth US$4.454 billion.
It accounts for 67% of the total nominal amount, indicating that the market is strongly bullish about the second half of June. Although the data may show some hawkish views and remarks, the current funding market is optimistic.
The trading in June will be very "bloody". The data at 2 am today did not sing bearish, but was positive. At the same time, since today is the 613 delivery day, the price of BTC rose from the lowest $66,051 to $69,999, an increase of 6%. Then it fell back from $69,999 to $67,500.
In addition to CHZ, what other fan tokens are there?
The following three coins are jokingly called the Binance Three Musketeers
1. LAZIO, the fan token of Lazio, has a market value of $18.25 million, ranks 927th, and can be traded on Binance. It is currently falling, and there is no doubt about it.
2. SANTOS, Santos fan token, market value of $25.1 million, ranking 823, can be traded on Binance. The coin is also in a continuous decline.
3.PORTO, the Porto fan token, has a market value of $17.92 million and ranks 937th in market value. It can be traded on Binance. It has also been falling recently.
Below are the Fan Tokens available for trading on Binance
BAR, the fan token of FC Barcelona, has a market value of $23.82 million, ranks 831, and can be traded on Binance. The coin has been falling recently and has almost hit its historical low.
PSG, the fan token of Paris Saint-Germain Football Club, has a market value of $25.08 million, ranks 824th, and can be traded on Binance. The coin has also been falling and is close to its historical low.
CITY, Manchester City fan token, market value of $20.38 million, market value ranking 891, can be traded on Binance. It keeps falling. The coin can also be traded on OKX, perhaps because OKX is its brand sponsor...
JUV, Juventus fan token, market value $14.93 million, market value ranking 997, available for trading on Binance. Continued decline.
ATM, Atletico Madrid fan token, market value of US$13.7 million, market value ranking 1031, can be traded on Binance, continues to fall.
ASR, the Roman fan token, has a market value of $5.36 million, ranks 1370th in market value, and can be traded on Binance. It continues to fall.
The following are jokingly called the OKX Three Musketeers
1.ARG, the fan token of the Argentine Football Association, has a market value of $5.65 million and ranks 1741st in market value. It can be traded on OKX. It has risen 3 times in this round of bull market and has been falling recently. This is a rare non-club fan token. It can be speculated that during the America's Cup, the price of this coin will rise and fall sharply with the performance of the Argentine national team.
2. POR, the fan token of the Portuguese national team, has a market value of $9.42 million and can be traded on OKX. The coin has increased by more than 10 times this year and is currently in a downward correction. As a national team fan token, the coin will also fluctuate with the performance of the Portuguese team during the European Cup.
3. MENGO, the fan token of Flamengo, a football club based in Brazil, with a market value of $14.47 million, available for trading on OKX. It has been falling in recent years…
Failure caused by insufficient cognition comes from information gaps, which is essentially due to disconnection between circles.
It is important to embrace a professional circle, which will help you take off and turn around quickly.
You can consult the village chief if you have any questions. WeChat: zknu758
