Odaily星球日报讯 美国股指期货周五反弹至盘中高点，此前美联储最喜欢的潜在通胀指标与 6 月份的预期相符，这让人们乐观地认为，美联储在通胀方面正在取得进展，不必在利率政策上保持激进。美国劳工部的数据显示，剔除波动较大的食品和能源项目的核心 PCE 指数 6 月份环比上升 0.1%，符合预期。（金十）

美国PCE通胀放缓或使美联储不必在利率政策上保持激进

Odaily Odaily News: U.S. stock index futures rebounded to intraday highs on Friday after the Federal Reserve&#39;s favorite underlying inflation indicator matched June&#39;s expectations, raising optimism that the Fed is making progress on inflation and does not have to remain aggressive on interest rate policy. Data from the U.S. Department of Labor showed that the core PCE index, which excludes volatile food and energy items, rose 0.1% month-on-month in June, in line with expectations. (Jinshi)

The slowdown in US PCE inflation may make the Federal Reserve less aggressive in its interest rate policy.

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Although the stronger-than-expected US second-quarter GDP data may alleviate some concerns about the economy, analysts point out that the core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index exceeding the expected 2.9% may cause trouble for the Federal Reserve. Emma Wall of Hargreaves Lansdown said in a report: "Although this is above the target, it is declining, and combined with strong economic growth data, this reduces the pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week." "We expect the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England to cut interest rates in September, which will be a wave of interest rate cuts. For investors focused on the US stock market, we believe there are opportunities in small-cap stocks with better value, although the recent 'Magnificent Seven' have seen a pullback."

Analysis: The market will see a wave of interest rate cuts in September.

Odaily Planet Daily Report: US short-term interest rate futures rose slightly after the release of inflation data; traders expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in July and begin cutting rates in September. Spot gold and the US dollar index DXY fluctuated slightly in the short term. (Gold Ten)

Traders expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in July and begin cutting rates in September, with the US dollar index DXY seeing limited short-term fluctuations.

Authors: Enda Curran, Charles Ayitey, Bloomberg; Translated by Bai Shui, Jinse Finance

After experiencing a booming 2023, the US economy is returning to reality.

Companies are reducing hiring. Consumer spending is declining. Interest rates at their highest in decades have nearly paralyzed the real estate market. The manufacturing sector is in distress, except for industries benefiting from government incentive measures, such as semiconductors and electric vehicles. Even as inflation eases, businesses and households are still complaining about the pain of high prices.

However, unlike most economic slowdowns, this...