Odaily星球日报讯 非农数据公布后，美元指数 DXY 跳空走低 40 点，现报 103.67，交易员加大对美联储未来大幅降息的押注，交易员们押注美联储将在九月份将利率下调 50 个基点，此前七月份失业率上升至 4.3%。（金十）

非农公布后美元指数DXY跳空走低40点，交易员押注美联储九月利率下调50个基点

Odaily Odaily News: After the release of non-agricultural data, the US dollar index DXY gapped down 40 points and is now at 103.67. Traders increased their bets on the Fed&#39;s future sharp interest rate cuts. Traders bet that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September, after the unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in July. (Jinshi)

The non-farm payroll announcement caused the US dollar index DXY to gap down 40 points, with traders betting on a 50-basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

US government bonds rose, with yields hovering around the lowest level since February, as investors believe economic data supports the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates three times this year. The 10-year yield fell below 4% for the first time since February, as previously released manufacturing data reinforced this view. The rise in initial jobless claims last week suggests the labor market is slowing. Interest rate swap traders see a 100% chance of a total of 75 basis points of rate cuts this year, meaning the next three rate meetings will each see a 25 basis point cut.

Traders 100% priced in three rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.

The interest rate swap market indicates that there is a 50% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in 2024. (Gold Ten)

The interest rate swap market indicates a 50% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 50 basis points in 2024.

According to the CME "FED Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 78%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 22%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting interest rates by 50 basis points by November is 29.1%, the probability of a 75 basis point cut is 57.1%, and the probability of a 100 basis point cut is 13.8%.