Odaily星球日报讯 美联储博斯蒂克表示，通胀率已从 2022 年的峰值大幅下降，但近期数据距离央行 2%的目标“仍有很大差距”。他表示，“为令通胀回落至目标，我一直高度专注于短期”。博斯蒂克称，官员们开始讨论长期而言利率将稳定在何种水平，并补充说他在 6 月发布的最新经济预测摘要中将中性利率定为 3%。就在一天前，这位亚特兰大联储行长重申他对降息时间的预期有所提前。他补充说他宁愿等待更多数据以确认经济趋势，而不是过早降息，而后在通胀重新加速上升时又不得不再次加息。（财联社）

美联储博斯蒂克：通胀离美联储2%的目标仍有很大差距

Odaily Odaily News: Fed&#39;s Bostic said that inflation has fallen sharply from its 2022 peak, but recent data is &quot;still a long way&quot; from the central bank&#39;s 2% target. He said, &quot;In order to bring inflation back to the target, I have been highly focused on the short term.&quot; Bostic said officials have begun to discuss at what level interest rates will stabilize in the long run, adding that he set the neutral interest rate at 3% in his latest summary of economic forecasts released in June. Just a day ago, the Atlanta Fed president reiterated that his expectations for a rate cut were brought forward. He added that he would rather wait for more data to confirm economic trends than cut interest rates too early and then have to raise rates again when inflation re-accelerates. (Cailian Press)

Fed's Bostic: Inflation still far from Fed's 2% target

Gurpreet Garewal, a macro strategist for fixed income and liquidity solutions at Goldman Sachs, stated in a report that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in three consecutive meetings in September, November, and December. However, she stated that if the August employment report to be released next week shows more signs of a weakening job market, it may prompt the Federal Reserve to start cutting rates more aggressively by 50 basis points. (Jinshi)

Goldman Sachs: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points three times this year

"The time has come to lower the target interest rate, and now is the time for policy adjustment."

On August 23, local time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell attended the Jackson Hole meeting, and his speech clearly signaled a rate cut. After the 2008 financial crisis, the Jackson Hole meeting often became a forward-looking guide for various monetary policies. His remarks were seen as a signal that the rate cut cycle was about to begin, adding fuel to the already strong expectations for the September policy meeting.

Looking at the timing in late August, how will the Federal Reserve implement the rate cut? Regarding the Federal Reserve's rate cut...

Looking ahead to the Fed’s rate cut: When it will be cut is a foregone conclusion

Although Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Lowe hinted that there will be no rate cut in the near future, the currency market has been betting on the RBA cutting rates. However, data released this week showed that Australia's inflation rate in July was slightly higher than economists' expectations, and the rate cut bet has started to recede. The market has now reduced the possibility of the RBA cutting rates in November from 56% before the data release to 42%. However, the market still expects an 88% chance of the RBA cutting rates in December, as according to current market pricing, the Federal Reserve may have already cut rates twice by then.