Wu Blockchain this week's macro indicators and analysis: US August non-farm payrolls report

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Compiled by: GaryMa Wu Blockchain about blockchain

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Wu Blockchain this week's macro indicators and analysis: Last week, the US core PCE price index in July was 2.6% year-on-year, lower than expected; this week's focus is on the US August non-farm payrolls report. The non-farm data in July was far below expectations, which has triggered the market to trade in a recession and bet on the Fed to accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts.

Last week review
  • The four-week average of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending August 24 was 231,500, and the previous value was revised from 236,000 to 236,250.
  • The annualized quarterly growth rate of real GDP in the second quarter of the United States was revised upward to 3%, from the initial value of 2.8%.
  • The US core PCE price index was 2.6% year-on-year in July, in line with expectations of 2.70%.
  • The University of Michigan announced that the final value of its consumer confidence index in August was 67.9, higher than the initial value of 67.8.
  • China's official manufacturing PMI for August was 49.1%.
  • Fed's Bostic: Inflation is falling faster than expected, while unemployment is rising much faster than I expected. If you need to raise interest rates again after cutting interest rates, it's not a good idea. Set the neutral interest rate expectation at 3%.

This week's key events & indicators
September 02
  • China's August Caixin Manufacturing PMI (09:45)

September 03
  • US August ISM Manufacturing PMI (22:00)

September 04
  • Eurozone service industry PMI in China, the UK, France and Germany
  • Bank of Canada interest rate decision on September 4 (21:45)

September 05
  • The Federal Reserve releases the Beige Book on economic conditions (02:00)
  • U.S. ADP employment in August (10,000 people) (20:15)
  • Number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending August 31 (10,000 people) (20:30)

September 06
  • U.S. unemployment rate in August (20:30)
  • U.S. August seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls (10,000 people) (20:30)

Source
Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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