ChainCatcher 消息，据金十报道，根据芝商所（CME）美联储观察工具，下周美联储降息 50 个基点的押注从昨天的 28% 上升到 43%，美国国债收益率势将录得周度下跌。本周公布的 CPI 和 PPI 数据，支撑了对本月底 PCE 数据表现温和的预期，导致一些投资者预计美联储将更加担心就业问题。 与此同时，《华尔街日报》报道称，由于官员们认为通胀已得到控制，并担心就业问题，他们正在考虑采取更为激进的货币宽松政策。10 年期美国国债交投在 3.657% 附近，2 年期美国国债为 3.598%。

ChainCatcher 消息，据金十报道，根据芝商所（CME）美联储观察工具，下周美联储降息 50 个基点的押注从昨天的 28% 上升到 43%，美国国债收益率势将录得周度下跌。本周公布的 CPI 和 PPI 数据，支撑了对本月底 PCE 数据表现温和的预期，导致一些投资者预计美联储将更加担心就业问题。与此同时，《华尔街日报》报道称，由于官员们认为通胀已得到控制，并担心就业问题，他们正在考虑采取更为激进的货币宽松政策。10 年期美国国债交投在 3.657% 附近，2 年期美国国债为 3.598%。

美国国债收益率下跌，押注美联储降息50个基点再度抬头

According to the ChainCatcher news report, based on the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) Federal Reserve observation tool, the bet on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points next week has risen from 28% yesterday to 43%, and the yield on US Treasuries is expected to record a weekly decline. The CPI and PPI data released this week supported the expectation of a moderate performance of the PCE data at the end of this month, causing some investors to expect the Federal Reserve to be more concerned about employment issues. At the same time, The Wall Street Journal reported that officials are considering more aggressive monetary easing policies, as they believe inflation has been brought under control and are concerned about employment issues. The 10-year US Treasury bond is trading around 3.657%, and the 2-year US Treasury bond is 3.598%.

ChainCatcher reported that according to CME&#39;s Fed Watch tool, bets on a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed next week rose to 43% from 28% yesterday, and U.S. Treasury yields are set to record a weekly decline. The CPI and PPI data released this week supported expectations of a modest PCE data at the end of this month, leading some investors to expect the Fed to be more concerned about employment. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that officials are considering more aggressive monetary easing as they believe inflation is under control and are concerned about employment. The 10-year Treasury note was trading around 3.657% and the 2-year Treasury note was at 3.598%.

U.S. Treasury yields fall as bets on a 50 basis point Fed rate cut resurface

According to China Newsweek, the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the near future, as the risk balance between inflation and unemployment in the United States has undergone subtle changes, with the risk of unemployment rising and the risk of inflation declining, and the risk of unemployment beginning to exceed the risk of inflation. A preemptive interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve would help reduce market expectations of a rapid deterioration in the US economic recession, which could benefit the stability of the global financial market and the recovery of the world economy, but a preemptive interest rate cut would also constrain the adjustment space of monetary policy in other economies. It should be noted that given the current economic and financial situation in the United States, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve making a significant interest rate cut this year is not high, and the cumulative interest rate cut this year may be in the range of 50-75 basis points.

Analysis: The Fed may cut interest rates by 50 to 75 basis points this year, but a large cut is unlikely

Odaily Planet Daily Report: After the release of the US PPI data, the swap market remained stable, and it is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by a total of 100 basis points this year. (Golden Ten)

Swap markets remain stable as Fed expected to cut rates by 100 basis points this year

According to Odaily, investment strategy analyst Josh Jamner of asset management firm ClearBridge Investments stated that today's CPI report will disappoint the short-term bond market, as the market has already prepared for the Federal Reserve to cut rates by more than 250 basis points by the end of 2025. He said that the unfavorable news today will not prevent the Federal Reserve from normalizing its interest rate policy next week, but it may lead them to reframe the debate. Further signs indicate that inflation may be more stubborn than previously thought, which could lead to a slower and smaller rate cut cycle.