Current odds according to CME FedWatch:
50bps = 65%
25bps = 35%
First time in over a year that we're going into this FOMC without a 90%+ probability/priced in option.
Going to be a volatile one this time around as the market will have to price in & digest whichever decision is made and on top of that, digest the summary of economic projections provided by the Fed.

Twitter

According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 33.0%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 67.0%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting interest rates by 50 basis points by November is 19.3%, the probability of a 75 basis point cut is 52.9%, and the probability of a 100 basis point cut is 27.8%.

CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points this week is higher than 25 basis points

The market is now heavily betting on a 50 basis point cut, and if the Federal Reserve cuts by 25 basis points, it will be seen as "hawkish", and the market will suffer massive losses; if it cuts by 50 basis points, but subsequent actions fall short of market expectations, it may trigger panic, and financial conditions may tighten again.

Written by: Zhao Ying, Wall Street Insider

The Federal Reserve's first rate cut in five years will be implemented tonight, and the suspense over the cut's magnitude continues to escalate as Wall Street debates "50 or 25 basis points", leading to a sudden increase in market uncertainty. How will the Federal Reserve's "rate cut journey" begin?

Early Thursday (September 19)...

25 basis points "huge loss", 50 basis points "panic"! Faced with market pressure, how will the Fed cut interest rates tonight?

Tomorrow's FOMC, will the rate cut be 0.25 or 0.5?

Today we'll discuss these 12 cryptocurrencies:

1. BTC
2. USDT
3. Total3
4. SPX500
5. FTM
6. BNB
7. Aave
8. DOT
9. SOL
10. ETH
11. IMX
12. GAL

Disclaimer: All the views and content I share are for the purpose of promoting and spreading harmonious trading technology, as well as sharing experiences. I do not shill, nor do I recommend any platform.
You all trade...