火星财经消息，10 月 17 日，据预测市场 Polymarket 数据，预测比特币本月触及 70,000 美元的概率升至 64%，较一周前上升了 45%。

<div>火星财经消息，10 月 17 日，据预测市场 Polymarket 数据，预测比特币本月触及 70,000 美元的概率升至 64%，较一周前上升了 45%。</div>

Polymarket上预测比特币本月触及70,000美元的概率升至64%

According to Polymarket data, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $70,000 this month has risen to 64%, up from 45% a week ago.
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According to Polymarket data, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $70,000 this month has risen to 64%, up from 45% a week ago.

Polymarket predicts that the probability of Bitcoin hitting $70,000 this month has risen to 64%

In a new study, Geoff Kendrick, the head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered Bank, estimates that before the US presidential election in November, Bitcoin may reach $73,800, an increase of 12% from the current level. To support this, Kendrick cites the changing pattern of the Bitcoin-to-MicroStrategy (MicroStrategy) stock multiple (stock multiple = total assets ÷ total common shares outstanding). MicroStrategy is known for hoarding a large amount of Bitcoin, with its reserves recently reaching 252,000 coins. After trading in sync with the Bitcoin price (green line) throughout 2024, the MicroStrategy stock multiple (blue line) has already exploded. Kendrick states that the two fundamental factors causing this premium may drive Bitcoin higher, and the gap between the two will narrow over time. The first factor is that last month, there was news that BNY Mellon had obtained an exemption from SAB 121, an unpopular legislation that forced traders to list the cryptocurrencies they hold on their balance sheets. Relaxed regulation is generally seen as a favorable factor for Bitcoin. Secondly, the SAB 121 exemption is closely related to MicroStrategy's announcement of its plan to become a "Bitcoin bank," which will provide Bitcoin capital market tools in the future. Kendrick expects that future exemptions may allow the company to earn income by lending out Bitcoin.

Standard Chartered: Bitcoin has 12% upside potential before US election

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to data from <ETC Group> under Bitwise Asset Management, the token price is uncertain due to the results of the US presidential election. <ETC Group> found that based on the implied performance of the theoretical value, Bit may rise 10% in either direction depending on the election results. Given the current spot price is slightly below $68,000, a 10% increase would mean a new historical high, exceeding the $73,697 in March. The team also found that the impact of the election may have the greatest impact on ADA and Doge, at 18% and 20% respectively. In addition, according to Coinglass data from 2013 to 2023, the return rate of Bit in the second half of October (16th to 31st) is twice that of the first half (1st to 15th). Looking beyond the US election, the options market shows a bullish sentiment on Bit, with most long open interest positions at strike prices of $70,000 and $80,000. The notional values of the strike prices expiring on November 29 are $141 million and $120 million respectively. (CoinDesk)

Analysis: Options market shows bullish trend for Bitcoin, with open interest mostly at $70,000 and $80,000 strike prices

[Market]
On October 16, the market capitalization of the MEME coin $GOAT briefly exceeded $300 million, setting a new historical high, with a single-day increase of up to 100%. Over the past 5 days, the price of $GOAT has increased by more than 10,000 times at one point, and a certain Smart Money address has cleared out 15.15 million $GOAT at a cost of only $727, earning an astonishing profit of $2.45 million, with a 5-day return rate reaching a staggering 3,375 times.
What force has driven this series of crazy market performance? This is not just a capital game behind an ordinary MEME coin, but a combination of technology and culture, AI...