Odaily星球日报讯 10x Research 在其市场分析中指出，特朗普在 Polymarket 上的胜选概率已从 68%降至 59%左右，尽管他在所有摇摆州仍保持微弱领先优势。RealClearPolitics 的押注平均值显示特朗普的获胜概率为 58.3%。专家警告称，这场竞选难分胜负，因为结果可能只取决于一两个关键的摇摆州，尽管民调显示特朗普胜算较大，但民主党在这些州可能仍占优势。

10x Research：民调显示特朗普胜算较大，而民主党在关键摇摆州仍占优势

Odaily Odaily 10x Research pointed out in its market analysis that Trump&#39;s chances of winning on Polymarket have dropped from 68% to around 59%, although he still maintains a slight lead in all swing states. The RealClearPolitics betting average shows Trump&#39;s chance of winning at 58.3%. Experts warn that this race is too close to call because the result may depend on only one or two key swing states, where the Democrats may still have the upper hand despite polls showing Trump has a better chance of winning.

10x Research: Polls show Trump has a better chance of winning, while Democrats still have an advantage in key swing states

PANews, November 1 news, according to CCTV News citing a report from <Forbes>, a latest public opinion poll shows that the US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate <Harris> leads the former US President and Republican presidential candidate <Trump> by a slim margin of 1%, but 10% of voters may change their minds before the election.

According to the poll, <Harris> currently leads <Trump> 49% to 48%, but there is still room for support to change in the remaining days before election day, as about 10% of potential voters and 16% of registered voters say they are still weighing their choices. Additionally, in the seven key swing states that could determine the final election winner, <Harris> leads <Trump> 49% to 48%, compared to <Trump> leading <Harris> 50% to 46% a week ago.

According to the report, this poll was conducted from October 27 to 29, with 4,523 registered voters and 3,718 likely voters participating.

US poll: Harris leads Trump by 1%

Odaily Planet Daily Report: The probability of Kamala Harris winning the upcoming US presidential election on Polymarket is on the rise, with Harris' odds rising from 33% on October 30 to nearly 39%. Trump's odds have correspondingly declined, indicating lower expectations of his victory, although a 61% odds still make him the preferred candidate. Market observers say the rise in Harris' stock price may reflect traders buying the stock to hedge their bets on Trump, as some claim reports of voting irregularities against Trump may affect the market. (Coindesk)

Analysis: Harris's chances of winning on Polymarket may rise as Trump traders hedge their positions

The decision will be made on the evening of November 6th.