Odaily星球日报讯 预测市场 Polymarket 数据显示，目前预测特朗普赢得美国总统大选概率为 54.6%，哈里斯赢得大选概率为 45.4%，两者差距不到 10 个百分点。 此外，平台上对美国大选押注金额突破 30 亿美元（3,007,691,885 美元）。

Odaily星球日报讯 预测市场 Polymarket 数据显示，目前预测特朗普赢得美国总统大选概率为 54.6%，哈里斯赢得大选概率为 45.4%，两者差距不到 10 个百分点。此外，平台上对美国大选押注金额突破 30 亿美元（3,007,691,885 美元）。

Polymarket上特朗普胜选概率领先哈里斯不到10个百分点，押注金额超30亿美元

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to data from the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of Trump winning the US presidential election is currently 54.6%, while the probability of Harris winning the election is 45.4%, with a difference of less than 10 percentage points. In addition, the total amount of bets on the US election on the platform has exceeded $3 billion ($3,007,691,885).

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to data from the prediction market Polymarket, the current probability of Trump winning the US presidential election is 54.6%, while the probability of Harris winning the election is 45.4%, with a difference of less than 10 percentage points. In addition, the total amount of bets on the US election on the platform has exceeded $3 billion ($3,007,691,885).

Polymarket: Trump's odds of winning are less than 10 percentage points ahead of Harris, with bets exceeding $3 billion

Here is the English translation:

- <Polymarket> Whale Behind Trump Backed by a French Trader
- If Trump Wins, the Whale Will Earn $80 Million
- Trump's Election Situation Remains Deadlocked

The final 3 days of the US presidential election, the latest data from the well-known blockchain prediction market <Polymarket> shows that the former US president and Republican presidential candidate Trump, who has publicly supported cryptocurrency multiple times this year, currently has a 58.1% chance of winning, although it has dropped nearly 9% from the peak of 67% in late October, but it still leads the Democratic candidate Biden by more than 16%.

Polymarket's "30 million mg bet on Trump"whale under investigation: French people complain about injustice instead of building momentum, thinking they will definitely make money

The decision will be made on the evening of November 6th.

A must-read before the US election: Here are all the twists and turns you need to know

Here is the English translation, with the content inside <> not translated:

Bitcoin breaks below $69,000 again
Over $102 million in liquidations across the network in the past 24 hours
The probability of a 75 basis point rate hike by the Fed reaches 99%

The U.S. presidential election is set to officially arrive on November 5th local time, and with many market investors betting on a Trump victory, related concept stocks and Bitcoin have been on the rise. However, Citi analysts recently believe that the Trump trade may have reached a point of profit-taking.
Citi points out: The Trump trade performed very strongly in October, but they now see potential gains have diminished, and the risk-reward...