Odaily星球日报讯 在美国总统大选前的最后一天，比特币和其他主要加密货币的几乎没有变化，BTC 回升至 69,000 美元左右，在过去 24 小时内上涨约 0.8%。目前距离美国东部一些州的首次投票仅剩几个小时，交易员们似乎在观望，直到他们更清楚地了解这次投票的走向。（Coindesk）

目前距离美国东部一些州的首次投票仅剩几小时，交易者仍在观望

Odaily Odaily News: On the last day before the US presidential election, Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies have hardly changed, with BTC rebounding to around $69,000, up about 0.8% in the past 24 hours. With only a few hours left before the first votes in some eastern states, traders seem to be waiting and watching until they have a clearer understanding of the direction of this vote. (Coindesk)

With just hours until the first votes in some eastern U.S. states, traders are still on the sidelines

The US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Harris leads the former US President and Republican presidential candidate Trump by a narrow margin of 1%.

Daxian Talks About Coins: A reversal before the US election on November 1! Will Bitcoin miss its previous high?

PANews, November 4 news, according to CoinDesk's analysis, the Bitcoin born in 2009 is about to welcome the fourth U.S. presidential election. The data of the previous three elections shows that Bitcoin has always maintained an upward trend after the U.S. elections, and has never fallen back to the price on the election day. If this trend appears again, the price of Bitcoin should reach its peak about a year later.

- The 2012 U.S. presidential election was also held on November 5, and at that time the Bitcoin price was hovering around $11. In November 2013, the Bitcoin price reached its peak, with an increase of nearly 12,000%, and the Bitcoin price soared to over $1,100.
- In the first week of November 2016, the U.S. presidential election, the Bitcoin price was around $700. In December 2017, the Bitcoin price reached a peak of around $18,000, an increase of about 3,600%.
- The 2020 U.S. presidential election, which occurred at the same time as the COVID-19 pandemic, Bitcoin rose 478% in the following year, reaching a market high of about $69,000. In March 2024, Bitcoin set a new high of over $73,000.
Each time after the Bitcoin halving event, although its price is much higher than four years ago, the growth rate has narrowed, and the rate of return has gradually decreased. The percentage decline between the first and second numbers is 70%, and the decline between the second and third numbers is 87%. If we continue this trend and assume that the decline this time is about 90%, it means that the increase after the election will be about 47.8%. This will make Bitcoin reach around $103,500 in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Analysis: History suggests Bitcoin could rise after US election no matter who wins

Stimulated by the "election trade", Bitcoin took the lead in starting an upward trend and returned to above the long-lost $71,000 this week. Most crypto sectors rose, and the MEME market was even more immersed in PolitiFi.