Odaily星球日报讯 预测市场 Polymarket 数据显示，预测特朗普赢得美国总统大选概率超过 90%，哈里斯赢得大选概率降至 10%下方。

Polymarket上特朗普胜选概率超90%

Odaily Odaily reported that data from the prediction market Polymarket showed that the probability of Trump winning the US presidential election is over 90%, while the probability of Harris winning the election has dropped below 10%.

Polymarket: Trump's chances of winning exceed 90%

Here is the English translation:

On November 5, data from the decentralized prediction market platform <Polymarket> showed that the probability of former President Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has risen to 62.4%.

It is reported that Polymarket reflects the market's expectations for various events through user bets. Unlike traditional polls, this type of platform is more focused on changes in capital flows and market sentiment, and has attracted over $30 billion in "real money" support, making it an effective reference for analyzing the political situation, and more convincing. Currently, Trump's odds of being elected are 1.57, while Harris' are 2.5. These odds data reflect the difference in global market confidence in the two candidates' chances of winning, and also suggest that Trump is likely to be elected.

Trump's election as President of the United States will have a significant impact on the Bitcoin market. As Trump is likely to be elected, since he has promised to make Bitcoin a national strategic reserve, in the past week, the net inflow of Bitcoin ETFs has reached $2.3 billion, indicating that the market is optimistic about Trump's election and Bitcoin. His victory will bring great momentum and a strong positive boost to Bitcoin.

Several senior market analysts have stated: the best time to enter the market is when the election results are not yet known.

Market volatility is increasing, and investors need to maintain rationality.

4E View: Trump’s election may set off the Bitcoin market, odds and prediction platforms suggest a higher chance of winning

Odaily Planet Daily reported that Cointelegraph posted on the <X platform> that a user bet $5 million on a Harris victory today. There are less than 7 hours left until the betting deadline. The probability of a Trump victory on Polymarket is currently reported at 58.8%, and the probability of a Harris victory is currently reported at 41.3%.

A user placed a $5 million bet on Harris' victory on Polymarket

According to the ChainCatcher message, recent data from the decentralized prediction market platform <Polymarket> shows that the probability of former President Donald Trump winning the 2024 US presidential election has risen to 61%, attracting widespread attention in the crypto community. At the same time, a large number of tokens and prediction activities related to Trump have rapidly emerged on the <Solana> (<SOL>) blockchain. As a decentralized prediction market, <Polymarket> reflects the market's expectations for various events through user bets. Unlike traditional polls, these platforms focus more on changes in capital flows and market sentiment, and have attracted over $30 billion in support. Recently, many user-created Trump concept coins on the <Solana> chain have seen significant price increases, attracting a lot of attention. In addition, as a US-based blockchain platform, <Solana> (<SOL>) is expected to further increase its influence in the capital market with the potential approval of a <SOL> ETF if Trump is elected. Therefore, in the past week, the net inflow of Bitcoin ETFs has reached $2.3 billion, which may indicate the market's optimism about Trump's election and Bitcoin.