Odaily星球日报讯 荷兰国际分析师 Chris Turner 在一份报告中表示，欧元在经历了 10 月和 11 月的重挫后，经历了两周的盘整，现在面临着新的疲软态势。在美国公布通胀数据和欧洲央行本周晚些时候公布政策决定后，欧元/美元可能会在短期跌至 1.0500，甚至更低。周三公布的数据可能显示美国 11 月核心通胀加速。这将“更严重地质疑美联储降息的做法是否正确”。欧洲央行可能在周四降息 25 个基点，这可能为将利率降至既不刺激也不放缓经济增长的所谓中性利率下方打开大门。（金十）

荷兰国际：美CPI及欧洲央行利率决议公布在即，欧元恐面临新一轮下跌

Odaily Odaily News: Chris Turner, an analyst at ING, said in a report that the euro has experienced two weeks of consolidation after the heavy losses in October and November, and now faces a new weakness. After the release of US inflation data and the European Central Bank&#39;s policy decision later this week, EUR/USD may fall to 1.0500 or even lower in the short term. Data released on Wednesday may show that core inflation in the United States accelerated in November. This will &quot;more seriously question whether the Fed&#39;s approach to cutting interest rates is correct.&quot; The European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, which may open the door to lowering interest rates below the so-called neutral interest rate that neither stimulates nor slows economic growth. (Jinshi)

ING: With the announcement of US CPI and ECB interest rate decision imminent, the euro may face a new round of decline

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to a report by Ipek Ozkardeskaya, an analyst at Credit Suisse, the US dollar has weakened slightly due to investors betting that the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates this month. The non-farm payroll data released last Friday showed that job growth improved in November, with wages rising, but the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose. Ozkardeskaya said these data have strengthened the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the December meeting. Meanwhile, although investors are seeking safe-haven assets amid global political turmoil, these expectations support the weakening of the US dollar. LSEG data shows that the market currently sees a 85% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December. (Gold Ten)

Swissquote Bank: The market is betting on another Fed rate cut, and the dollar is slightly lower

Compilation: GaryMa Wu Blockchain
Summary
Wu Blockchain's weekly macroeconomic indicators and analysis: Last week, the US November non-farm data showed a steady growth in the labor market, and Powell said that Bitcoin is a competitor to gold. This week, the focus can be on the US November CPI and the ECB's announcement of the December interest rate decision.
Review of last week
- The US November ADP employment increased by 146,000, revised from the previous 233,000 to 184,000.
- The US November non-farm employment increased by 227,000, the largest increase in half a year, ...

Wu Blockchain this week's macroeconomic indicators and analysis: US CPI, ECB interest rate decision

ChainCatcher reported that the data released last Friday showed that non-farm employment was better than expected, with the unemployment rate rising slightly, strengthening the expectation of a rate cut in December. The market expects the possibility of a rate cut in December to rise to around 85%. According to 4E monitoring, the surge in tech stocks last week pushed the major US stock indices to new highs, with the Nasdaq rising more than 3%, the S&P 500 index rising nearly 1%, and the Nasdaq and S&P both hitting new highs, while the Dow Jones was the only index to fall, down about 0.5%. The cryptocurrency market is thriving, with the Bitcoin spot ETF seeing net inflows for a consecutive week, totaling nearly $2.8 billion, and the stablecoin market cap increasing by $39.653 billion, a growth of 2.56%. The strong inflow of funds has led to the breaching of the $10,000 and $4,000 price levels for Bitcoin and ETH, respectively, and Altcoins have seen a broad-based rally, with several major coins doubling in value. Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating around the $10,000 level, providing opportunities for Altcoins. In the foreign exchange and commodity markets, the US dollar continued to strengthen last week, jumping significantly after the non-farm data release but ultimately turning higher, gaining 0.22% for the week. The US dollar's rise has limited the upside potential of gold prices, but the expectation of a rate cut has provided support, leading to gold prices fluctuating in a narrow range, with the overall market sentiment being cautious. Oil prices fell for three consecutive days last week due to concerns about oversupply, with WTI down 1.17% and Brent down 1% for the week. Recent data suggests that the US's anti-inflation progress may be stalling, and the CPI data to be released this Wednesday will be a key factor in the Fed's interest rate decision this month. The market expects the possibility of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed on December 18 to be around 85%. However, the expectation of fewer rate cuts next year is continuing to strengthen. Additionally, as the year-end approaches, large investment institutions are facing portfolio rebalancing to accommodate year-end balance sheet and tax issues, which may cause short-term liquidity shocks in the US stock market, potentially being the most significant adverse factor recently, and is expected to put pressure on risk assets. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports cryptocurrencies, stock indices, gold, and foreign exchange, and has recently launched a USDT stablecoin wealth management product with an annualized yield of 5.5%, providing investors with a potential hedging option. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and allocate assets reasonably.