Odaily星球日报讯 油价周三窄幅震荡，因投资者在美联储会议前保持谨慎。XM 高级投资分析师 Charalampos Pissouros 表示，投资者可能更关注美联储 1 月份暂停降息的可能性有多大，以及决策者在 2025 年全年考虑降息多少次的暗示和线索。瑞银分析师 Giovanni Staunovo 表示，对贸易战的担忧以及对美联储明年降息力度的不确定性，可能会限制油价目前的上行空间。Phillip Nova 高级市场分析师 Priyanka Sachdeva 表示，市场普遍认为特朗普的政策可能导致通胀，再加上对可能干预美联储自主权的担忧，导致石油投资者保持谨慎。（金十）

美联储会议前夕，油价在谨慎情绪中震荡

Odaily Odaily News: Oil prices fluctuated narrowly on Wednesday as investors remained cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting. XM senior investment analyst Charalampos Pissouros said investors may be more concerned about how likely it is that the Federal Reserve will suspend rate cuts in January, as well as hints and clues about how many times policymakers are considering cutting rates throughout 2025. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said concerns about the trade war and uncertainty about the extent of the Fed&#39;s rate cuts next year may limit the current upside for oil prices. Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova, said the market generally believes that Trump&#39;s policies may lead to inflation, coupled with concerns about possible interference with the Federal Reserve&#39;s autonomy, has caused oil investors to remain cautious. (Golden Ten)

Oil prices fluctuate amid caution ahead of Fed meeting

Odaily Odaily News reports that macroeconomist Samwell Thomps and Oliver Allen have stated that before the policy decision to be made this week, Federal Reserve officials are in a state of communication breakdown, but they are expected to unanimously decide to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Fed Governor Waller said before the meeting that he was inclined to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, which is the clearest policy comment from a member of the committee. Economists expect that given that inflation has stubbornly remained above target, a pause in rate cuts will be the default option for the Fed at the January meeting. (Jinshi)

Institution: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will unanimously agree to cut interest rates in December

Odaily reports that at 3 am Beijing time on Thursday, the Federal Reserve will announce its final interest rate decision of the year. According to futures contracts, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut the benchmark interest rate by another 25 basis points this week. This will bring the federal funds rate to a target range of 4.25% to 4.50%, a full percentage point lower than when it began cutting rates in September. Vincent Reinhart, chief economist at BNY Mellon and former director of the Federal Reserve's monetary affairs division, believes that "the Federal Reserve is clearly in a dilemma. For officials, unless they are very sure of what political and economic changes will occur, they cannot truly change their forecasts to address those changes. At the press conference, the biggest concern is the idea of skipping a rate cut. So I think in this regard, this will be a hawkish rate cut. (Only) as (Trump's) policies actually take effect, the Federal Reserve may further update its forecasts."

The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is imminent, and the market generally expects another 25 basis point rate cut

Odaily Odaily News reports that SPI Asset Management analyst Stephen Innes said that although market participants generally believe that further rate cuts and strong earnings growth will coexist, these factors are not necessarily interdependent. People generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points, but the subsequent trend is still unclear. In any case, the subsequent trend of the US dollar, stock market and bond market largely depends on the guidance to be issued by the Federal Reserve, rather than the rate cut itself on Wednesday. The key question is whether the Federal Reserve will signal a pause in rate hikes at the January 2020 FOMC meeting. My view tends to be affirmative. However, the real focus is on how the Federal Reserve will clearly convey this potential shift and confirm a "dovish rate cut". (JinShi)

Analysts: The market is focusing on whether the Federal Reserve will suspend interest rate hikes in January next year and how to convey the potential change in attitude of "hawkish interest rate cuts"