Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”：美联储 3 月维持利率不变的概率为 82.0%，降息 25 个基点的概率为 18.0%。到 5 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 57.0%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 37.5%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 5.5%。美联储今日凌晨维持利率在 4.25%-4.5%不变。（金十数据）

Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”：美联储 3 月维持利率不变的概率为 82.0%，降息 25 个基点的概率为 18.0%。到 5 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 57.0%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 37.5%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 5.5%。美联储今日凌晨维持利率在 4.25%-4.5%不变。（金十数据）

美联储3月维持利率不变的概率为82%

Odaily Odaily reports that according to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in March is 82.0%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 18.0%. The probability of keeping the current rate unchanged by May is 57.0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 37.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 5.5%. The Fed kept rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.5% earlier today. (Gold Ten Data)

The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 82%.

According to the news compiled by ChainCatcher, several financial institutions have expressed their views on the upcoming FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve:

<Standard Chartered Bank: It is expected that the interest rate will remain unchanged this month, and a wait-and-see attitude will be taken on the issue of interest rate cuts, and Powell is unlikely to want the FOMC to take a more hawkish stance at this stage.>

<Nordea Bank: It is expected that the interest rate will remain unchanged, and wait for more data and information on President Trump's policies, and it is expected that there will be two interest rate cuts in May and September 2025.>

<PIMCO: The Federal Reserve may "maintain interest rates unchanged in the foreseeable future", and may even raise borrowing costs, as officials are waiting for clarification on Trump's policies.>

<Goldman Sachs Group: It is expected that this meeting will not provide much new information, and it is unlikely to provide forward-looking guidance for policy action in March, and there will be two 25BP interest rate cuts in June and September this year.>

<Bank of America: It is expected that the interest rate will remain unchanged, the economic data is tending to be stable, or the expectations for the job market will be revised upwards. Powell may retain maximum flexibility for the policy decision in March.>

<ING: It is expected that monetary policy will not change. The rapid rise in government bond yields has significantly increased the borrowing costs of consumers and businesses, and it is predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates three times in 2025.>

<Rabobank: It is expected that the interest rate will remain unchanged, and Powell is expected to be cautious about further interest rate cuts, while avoiding questions about the impact of Trump's policies on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.>

<JPMorgan Chase: It is expected that the interest rate will remain unchanged, and the possibility of taking action at the March meeting will not be ruled out, focusing on whether and how the Federal Reserve will incorporate Trump's policies into its policy review.>

<Natixis: It is expected that the interest rate will remain unchanged, and a hawkish surprise is unlikely, and attention needs to be paid to how the Federal Reserve views the combination of Trump's policies and their impact on inflation and economic growth.>

<Ernst & Young: The data shows that the economy is stable, and inflation is more stubborn than expected. It is expected that the interest rate cut will be suspended this week, and as many options as possible will be retained in order to further adjust the federal funds rate this year.>

Many institutions look ahead to the Fed's interest rate decision, and "no action" is almost certain

Odaily reports that Novapoint Chief Investment Officer Joseph Sroka said the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected. It had already made it clear in December that the pace of rate cuts would slow down in 2025. With the new administration taking office and its fiscal and other policies being introduced, the Federal Reserve is now in a favorable position to deal with the complex data changes in the first three to four months of the new administration's term, after cutting rates by 100 basis points. (Gold Ten)

Agency: The Federal Reserve has made it clear that the pace of interest rate cuts will slow down in 2025

Odaily reports that Geoff Yu, EMEA market strategist at New York Bank, expects the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate to remain unchanged this week, and the market may focus more on the Federal Open Market Committee's initial impression of the Trump administration. Yu said this will certainly be a core issue at the new Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference. Yu also said that New York Bank believes that the macroeconomic outlook has changed little compared to last December, and the Federal Reserve may acknowledge that further easing will be gradual, but will still depend on the data. (Jinshi)

The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 82%.

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