Odaily星球日报讯 美联储理事鲍曼就经济前景发表讲话：预计通胀将下降，但上行风险仍然存在，在再次降息之前，需要对通胀下降有更强的信心。耐心等待降息将有助于更清晰地了解政府政策的影响。劳动市场并未因招聘放缓而出现紧张，但失业率仍低于充分就业的预期水平，工资增长已高于与美联储通胀目标一致的水平。目前，美国经济依然强劲，经济活动实现稳健增长，劳动力市场接近充分就业。核心通胀水平仍然略高，但似乎已重新回到下降轨道。我的基本预期是，今年核心通胀将进一步减缓。货币政策并非在预设路线上。（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 美联储理事鲍曼就经济前景发表讲话：预计通胀将下降，但上行风险仍然存在，在再次降息之前，需要对通胀下降有更强的信心。耐心等待降息将有助于更清晰地了解政府政策的影响。劳动市场并未因招聘放缓而出现紧张，但失业率仍低于充分就业的预期水平，工资增长已高于与美联储通胀目标一致的水平。目前，美国经济依然强劲，经济活动实现稳健增长，劳动力市场接近充分就业。核心通胀水平仍然略高，但似乎已重新回到下降轨道。我的基本预期是，今年核心通胀将进一步减缓。货币政策并非在预设路线上。（金十）

美联储理事鲍曼：货币政策并非在预设路线，核心通胀将进一步减缓

Odaily Odaily News reports that Federal Reserve Governor Bowman spoke about the economic outlook: Inflation is expected to decline, but upside risks remain, and more confidence in the decline in inflation is needed before another rate cut. Waiting patiently for a rate cut will help to better understand the impact of government policies. The labor market has not tightened due to a slowdown in hiring, but the unemployment rate is still below the level of full employment, and wage growth has exceeded the level consistent with the Fed's inflation target. Currently, the US economy remains strong, with solid growth in economic activity and the labor market close to full employment. Core inflation is still slightly higher, but appears to have returned to a downward trend. My basic expectation is that core inflation will slow further this year. Monetary policy is not on a pre-set course. (Gold Ten)

Odaily reports that Federal Reserve Governor Bowman spoke about the economic outlook: Inflation is expected to decline, but upside risks remain, and more confidence in the decline in inflation is needed before another rate cut. Waiting patiently for a rate cut will help to better understand the impact of government policies. The labor market has not tightened due to a slowdown in hiring, but the unemployment rate is still below the level of full employment, and wage growth has exceeded the level consistent with the Fed's inflation target. Currently, the US economy remains strong, with solid growth in economic activity and the labor market close to full employment. Core inflation is still slightly higher, but appears to have returned to a downward trend. My basic expectation is that core inflation will slow further this year. Monetary policy is not on a pre-set course. (JinShi)

Federal Reserve Board Member Bowman: Monetary policy is not on a preset path, core inflation will slow further

Odaily Odaily report: According to a report by Monex Europe analysts, given the Federal Reserve's cautious rate cut expectations, the US dollar has little room to continue its recent downward trend. Swap rates reflect a 1.5 rate cut this year, but considering sticky inflation, the Federal Reserve's rate cut may be smaller. A significant depreciation of the US dollar would require a "fundamental reassessment of the uniqueness of US economic growth or the emergence of a perfect anti-inflation phenomenon", but neither of these scenarios is likely to occur in the near term. However, the possibility of a significant rebound in the US dollar this week is also not high. The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting released on Wednesday may appear somewhat outdated, so the fate of the US dollar will depend more on the inscrutable Trump. (Gold Ten)

Analysts: Dollar has little room to fall further

The US wholesale prices rose in January, with higher food and energy costs. According to data on the PPI and CPI for January 2025 released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics last week, the PPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, lower than the revised previous value of 0.5% but higher than the expected 0.3%, and the year-on-year growth rate rose to 3.5%, higher than the market expectation of 3.2%, the largest increase since February 2023. The core PPI rose 0.3% month-on-month and 3.6% year-on-year; the CPI increased 3.0% year-on-year, compared to 2....

The Fed will not cut interest rates? A quick look at the impact of the unexpected rebound in PPI and CPI on the crypto market

Odaily Odaily report: According to analysts at Markets 360 of BNP Paribas in Paris, France, the Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates until mid-2026. They have held this view since early December last year. Their forecast is partly based on expectations of tariffs, but recent news suggests they may have to raise their preliminary estimates of tariffs. This makes the analysts more confident in their inflation forecasts, which are already above the market consensus. The money market currently expects the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts in September. (Gold Ten)

Federal Reserve Board Member Bowman: Monetary policy is not on a preset path, core inflation will slow further

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