火星财经3 月 4 日，加密货币分析师指出，目前比特币已经转为看跌态势，其周末的涨幅已完全蒸发。尽管特朗普有关加密货币储备的声明曾短暂地阻止了下跌势头，但潜在的宏观经济问题依然存在。在过去几天里，比特币的价格表现出了极大的波动性。从本质上讲，特朗普的声明可能只是对一个非常严重的问题进行了表面的处理。
上周，加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数降至 2022 年以来的最低水平，比特币目前如此看跌有几个原因：首先，宏观经济形势对加密货币不构成看涨因素，亚特兰大联储 GDPNow 模型现在预计，到 2025 年第一季度末，美国 GDP 将收缩 2.8%。从经济角度来看，与四周前预测的 3.9% 的增长相比，这一预测结果堪称灾难性。另一个重要因素是特朗普提出的关税政策。虽然一些分析师认为，关税并非主要原因。然而，在特朗普最近宣布对欧盟加征 25% 的关税时，加密货币市场出现了暴跌。换句话说，宏观经济因素在很大程度上影响着加密货币行业的市场情绪。
自从现货比特币 ETF 获得批准以来，加密货币已经与传统金融深度融合。所以如果美国经济陷入衰退，这种融合的弊端将完全显现出来。(金十)

<div>火星财经3 月 4 日，加密货币分析师指出，目前比特币已经转为看跌态势，其周末的涨幅已完全蒸发。尽管特朗普有关加密货币储备的声明曾短暂地阻止了下跌势头，但潜在的宏观经济问题依然存在。在过去几天里，比特币的价格表现出了极大的波动性。从本质上讲，特朗普的声明可能只是对一个非常严重的问题进行了表面的处理。<p>上周，加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数降至 2022 年以来的最低水平，比特币目前如此看跌有几个原因：首先，宏观经济形势对加密货币不构成看涨因素，亚特兰大联储 GDPNow 模型现在预计，到 2025 年第一季度末，美国 GDP 将收缩 2.8%。从经济角度来看，与四周前预测的 3.9% 的增长相比，这一预测结果堪称灾难性。另一个重要因素是特朗普提出的关税政策。虽然一些分析师认为，关税并非主要原因。然而，在特朗普最近宣布对欧盟加征 25% 的关税时，加密货币市场出现了暴跌。换句话说，宏观经济因素在很大程度上影响着加密货币行业的市场情绪。</p><p>自从现货比特币 ETF 获得批准以来，加密货币已经与传统金融深度融合。所以如果美国经济陷入衰退，这种融合的弊端将完全显现出来。(金十)</p></div>

分析师：比特币已转为看跌态势，市场情绪很大程度受宏观经济因素影响

Here is the English translation, with the content within <> tags left untranslated:

On March 4, crypto analysts pointed out that Bitcoin has now turned bearish, with its weekend gains completely evaporated. Although Trump's statement on crypto reserves briefly halted the downward trend, potential macroeconomic issues still exist. Over the past few days, Bitcoin's price has exhibited extreme volatility. Essentially, Trump's statement may have only superficially addressed a very serious problem.

Last week, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index dropped to its lowest level since 2022, and there are several reasons for Bitcoin's current bearish outlook: First, the macroeconomic situation does not constitute a bullish factor for cryptocurrencies, and the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model now forecasts that US GDP will contract by 2.8% by the end of the first quarter of 2025. Compared to the 3.9% growth predicted four weeks ago, this forecast is nothing short of disastrous. Another important factor is the tariff policy proposed by Trump. While some analysts believe that tariffs are not the main reason, when Trump recently announced a 25% tariff on the EU, the crypto market experienced a sharp decline. In other words, macroeconomic factors largely influence the market sentiment in the crypto industry.

Since the approval of the spot Bitcoin ETF, cryptocurrencies have been deeply integrated with traditional finance. So if the US economy falls into recession, the drawbacks of this integration will be fully manifested. (<金十>)

<div>According to crypto analysts, Bitcoin has now turned bearish, with its weekend gains completely evaporated. Although Trump's statement on crypto reserves briefly halted the downward trend, potential macroeconomic issues still exist. Bitcoin's price has exhibited significant volatility in recent days. Essentially, Trump's statement may have only superficially addressed a very serious problem.<p>Last week, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index dropped to its lowest level since 2022, and there are several reasons for Bitcoin's current bearish outlook: First, the macroeconomic situation does not constitute a bullish factor for cryptocurrencies, and the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model now forecasts that US GDP will contract by 2.8% by the end of the first quarter of 2025. From an economic perspective, this forecast is nothing short of disastrous compared to the 3.9% growth predicted four weeks ago. Another important factor is Trump's proposed tariff policy. While some analysts believe that tariffs are not the main reason, the crypto market experienced a sharp decline when Trump recently announced a 25% tariff on the EU. In other words, macroeconomic factors significantly influence the market sentiment in the crypto industry.</p><p>Since the spot Bitcoin ETF was approved, cryptocurrencies have been deeply integrated with traditional finance. So if the US economy falls into recession, the drawbacks of this integration will be fully exposed.</p></div>

Analyst: Bitcoin has turned bearish, and market sentiment is largely affected by macroeconomic factors

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