交易员仍预计美联储将在六月恢复降息

US short-term interest rate futures narrowed their earlier declines after the CPI report, with traders still expecting the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts in June, and expecting at least two rate cuts this year.

The US short-term interest rate futures narrowed their earlier decline after the CPI report, with traders still expecting the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts in June, and expecting at least two rate cuts this year.

Traders still expect the Fed to resume rate cuts in June

Odaily Odaily reports that according to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in March is 97.0%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 3.0%. The probability of keeping the current rate unchanged by May is 67.0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 32.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.9%. (Gold Ten)

The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97% before the release of US CPI

Odaily reports that according to CME's "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is 3%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 97%.

CME Fed Watch: The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 3%

Here is the English translation:

Odaily reported that Tickmill's analyst Joseph Dahrieh stated in a report that the US CPI inflation data may cause US Treasury yields to move in either direction. Higher-than-expected CPI could boost yields and ease recent expectations of a Fed rate cut. Conversely, softer inflation data would lead to a decline in yields. He also mentioned that the potential ceasefire progress between Ukraine and Russia could help boost risk appetite. Currently, institutional surveys show that the overall and core inflation rates in the US for February are expected to decline slightly. (Jinshi)

Traders still expect the Fed to resume rate cuts in June

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