Odaily星球日报讯 BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 发文表示，市场对“解放日”（Liberation Day）的反应不佳，“如果比特币在现在到美国税务日（4 月 15 日）之间能够守住 76,500 美元，那我们就算脱离险境了。”他同时提醒投资者“不要被震荡行情割韭菜”。

Odaily星球日报讯 BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 发文表示，市场对“解放日”（Liberation Day）的反应不佳，“如果比特币在现在到美国税务日（4 月 15 日）之间能够守住 76,500 美元，那我们就算脱离险境了。”他同时提醒投资者“不要被震荡行情割韭菜”。

Arthur Hayes：若BTC能守住76,500美元至4月15日税务日，将“脱离险境”

<Odaily> Planet News: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes wrote that the market's response to "Liberation Day" was poor, stating, "If Bitcoin can hold at $76,500 between now and the U.S. Tax Day (April 15), we will have escaped danger." He simultaneously warned investors "not to be cut by volatile market movements."

Arthur Hayes: BTC will be “out of danger” if it can hold $76,500 until Tax Day on April 15

<Odaily> Planet News: President Trump is expected to announce massive tariffs, including reciprocal tariffs, later on Wednesday. BRN Chief Analyst Valentin Fournier stated that Trump's speech is a key risk event, as his remarks have been difficult to predict - oscillating between massive tariff threats and measured reciprocal trade policy commitments. Given this uncertainty, crypto market volatility is expected to intensify, with potential downside risks if market expectations are not met. It is recommended to remain cautious and reduce overall digital asset exposure until tariff uncertainty is resolved. 21Shares Crypto Research Strategy Analyst Matt Mena was slightly more optimistic, noting that the most important factor is BTC staying above the $80,000 to $81,000 range. Otherwise, the likelihood of retesting the recent low of $76,500 increases. However, BTC might consolidate between $81,000 and $85,000 until the full impact of tariffs becomes clearer. (Block)

21Shares: It is most important for BTC to remain above the $80,000 range, and the impact of tariffs will soon become clear.

[Important News from Last Night to This Morning (March 31 - April 1)]

Musk Plans to Resign from the U.S. Government Efficiency Department (DOGE) by the End of May

According to Xiaoxiang Morning News, Elon Musk plans to resign from the U.S. Government Efficiency Department (DOGE) by the end of May. In an interview with Fox News, Musk expressed confidence in achieving the goal of reducing the federal deficit by $1 trillion before leaving. He emphasized government inefficiency, significant waste and fraud, and believes he can reduce spending by 15% without affecting critical services. Additionally, Musk questioned the unusual wealth of congressional members, noting that many earn only $200,000 annually but possess assets up to $20 million, questioning how they accumulated such wealth on limited income.

Arthur Hayes: Believes Bitcoin Can Reach $250,000 by Year-End Despite U.S. Stock Market Decline

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes stated in his latest blog post: "Bitcoin value = technology + fiat liquidity. This technology is effective and unlikely to change significantly in the near future. Bitcoin trading is entirely based on market expectations of future fiat currency supply. If my analysis of the Fed's potential shift from Treasury QT to QE is correct, Bitcoin's local low of $76,500 last month marks the beginning of a path to $250,000 by year-end. While not an exact science, I would bet on the latter price point. Even if the U.S. stock market continues to decline due to tariffs, collapsed profit expectations, or reduced foreign demand, I still believe Bitcoin is more likely to continue rising. Recognizing the pros and cons, Maelstrom is cautiously deploying capital. We don't use leverage and make small purchases relative to our total portfolio. We've been buying Bit and Altcoins at all levels between $90,000 and $76,500. Capital deployment speed will accelerate or slow based on the accuracy of my predictions. I still believe Bitcoin can reach $250,000 by year-end."

U.S. Official: Stablecoin Bill Versions Nearly Consistent, Only 20% Text Difference Remains

According to crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett, House Digital Assets Subcommittee Chairman Bryan Steil revealed that after Wednesday's deliberation, the House's STABLE Act will "align well" with the Senate's GENIUS Act, achieved through multiple draft revisions and technical assistance from the SEC and CFTC. Bryan Steil believes the bill differs from the GENIUS Act by 20%,

Important information last night and this morning (March 31-April 1)

[Arthur Hayes' New Article: Signs of Federal Reserve Policy Shift, Will Bitcoin Break $250,000 by Year-End?]

Arthur Hayes
Translated by: Yuliya, <PANews>

In the global central bank circle, Jerome Powell and Haruhiko Kuroda have established a deep friendship. Since Haruhiko Kuroda stepped down as the Governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) a few years ago, Powell often seeks advice or chats with him. In early March this year, a meeting between Powell and the new U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Besent left him deeply troubled. This meeting cast a psychological shadow on him, prompting...

Arthur Hayes: BTC will be “out of danger” if it can hold $76,500 until Tax Day on April 15

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