According to ChainCatcher and CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May is 56.7%, which has decreased from 60.1% before the non-farm payrolls report. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 43.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until June is 0, with a 52.1% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut, a 44.3% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut, and a 3.5% probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 56.7%, which is lower than before the release of non-agricultural data.
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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