The recent market rhythm actually lacks much novelty. Bitcoin's trend continues its seasonal cyclical fluctuations: rising in March, adjusting in April, and if it further explores downward in May, June might welcome a decent technical rebound; however, if May rises or the decline is insufficient, June may face a risk release, or even a deep correction.

As for ETH, the situation is more severe. The price once fell back to around $1,500, which is not a simple technical adjustment, but a clear lack of confidence. From its trend, it has almost become synonymous with "more drops than rises", slowly consuming investors' patience like a frog boiled in warm water. The former "second cryptocurrency" halo is gradually fading, with a new leading cryptocurrency brewing, and ETH may slowly fade from the main stage.

Looking at those previously high-flying Altcoins, they have been declining for four consecutive months. Many people started to "buy the dips" as early as the second or third month, only to find that the bottom is not the bottom, and can only exchange time for space. Significantly entering at this stage still carries high risks.

From the monthly structure, the current market rhythm is slowing down, which is a signal: emotions are cooling, and direction is about to be chosen. If another large negative candle appears, it might be the turning point; if it continues to decline slowly, it is also preparing for a bottom. But remember, finding the bottom ≠ reversal, and a true trend change still requires signal confirmation.

The market has always rewarded those who respect the trend, not gamblers who blindly fantasize about a comeback. The bottom is not picked, but dropped and carved out. Everyone wants to find a bargain, but those who truly find it are often very few, with the rest becoming mere "markers on the chart".

Finally, returning to reality, the current market is unsettling, but perhaps the real test is near its end. Those who have cut losses and cleared positions have basically exited. What comes next might be a truly meaningful test, and also an opportunity.

Where is the path? The path is beneath your feet. The market's ferocity is only temporary, and staying clear-headed is the core power to traverse cycles.

Lastly, many things are not included here, such as specific opportunities and decisions, which often cannot be summarized in a single article.

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