火星财经消息，Polymarket 官网数据显示，市场预测本月 BTC 触及 11 万美元概率升至 65%，触及 11.5 万美元的概率升至 29%。目前该预测市场的成交额为 1776 万美元。

<div>火星财经消息，Polymarket 官网数据显示，市场预测本月 BTC 触及 11 万美元概率升至 65%，触及 11.5 万美元的概率升至 29%。目前该预测市场的成交额为 1776 万美元。</div>

数据：Polymarket 市场预测本月 BTC 触及 11 万美元概率升至 65%

According to Mars Finance news, Polymarket's official website data shows that the probability of BTC reaching $110,000 this month has increased to 65%, and the probability of reaching $115,000 has increased to 29%. The current trading volume of this prediction market is $17.76 million.

<div>Mars Finance News: According to Polymarket's official website data, the market prediction of BTC reaching $110,000 this month has increased to 65%, and the probability of reaching $115,000 has risen to 29%. The current trading volume of this prediction market is $17.76 million.</div>

Data: Polymarket predicts that the probability of BTC reaching $110,000 this month has risen to 65%

In the crypto world, what truly determines victory is never code, but the interplay between liquidity, power, and regulation. The rise and fall of BUSD is not merely a tragic tale of a stablecoin, but a financial war waged by exchanges attempting to "unify the world."

When BUSD was thrust onto the historical stage, it carried not only a compliance narrative, but also Binance's ambition to reshape the stablecoin order through coercive measures—by manipulating exchange rates and merging trading pairs, directly swallowing competitors' liquidity into its own ledger.

The "automatic conversion" of 2022 was a textbook example of a blitzkrieg; and 2023...

The Rise and Fall of Binance's Dominance: From BUSD's "Unification" to $U's "Conquering the World"—The Stablecoin Wars

Source: Galaxy Research; Translation: Jinse Finance xz
Bitcoin's closing price in 2025 is expected to be roughly the same as the level at the beginning of the year.
The cryptocurrency market experienced a genuine bullish wave in the first ten months of this year. Regulatory reforms continued to advance, ETFs continued to attract funds, and on-chain activity became increasingly active. Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $126,080 on October 6th.
However, the market failed to deliver the expected breakthrough after the initial frenzy; instead, it experienced rotation, repricing, and rebalancing. This was driven by factors such as unmet macroeconomic expectations, a shift in investment narratives, leveraged margin calls, and massive...

Galaxy: 26 Predictions for the Crypto Market in 2026

Messari released "The Crypto Theses 2026," a report that predicts future trends in public blockchains, DeFi, AI, DePIN, and TradFi. From Messari's perspective, 2026 will be a pivotal year for cryptocurrencies, marking a shift from "speculative" to "system-level integration."

Author: Messari
Compiled/Translated by: ODIG Invest
Messari Releases "The Crypto Theses 2026"...