SOL price forecast: analysis of key technology positions and growth paths from 2025 to 2040

• Technical analysis shows SOL is facing short-term pressure from the 20-day moving average, but MACD maintains bullish momentum
• On-chain activity is diverging from price trends, and attention should be paid to volume accompanying a breakthrough above $164.2
• Long-term price models need to incorporate Ethereum's competitive landscape and institutional adoption progress

SOL Price Prediction

SOL Technical Analysis: Short-term Pressure but Long-term Structure Intact

According to BTCC financial analyst Robert's interpretation, SOL's current price of 144.25 USDT is below the 20-day moving average of 148.40, indicating short-term weakness. The MACD histogram remains positive (1.4783), suggesting momentum has not turned bearish, while the Bollinger Bands narrowing (132.61-164.20) indicates reduced volatility. The key support is at the $132.61 lower band, and if maintained, a potential rebound may be brewing.

SOL Network Activity Surges with Price Divergence

Robert notes that despite Solana's on-chain activity reaching new highs, the price has failed to break through the resistance zone, reflecting a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' market phase. This divergence typically requires further fundamental catalysts to transform into upward momentum, with the short term likely to continue oscillating in the $148-164 range.

Key Factors Affecting SOL Price

Solana Network Activity Surges, but Price Fails to Break Key Resistance

Solana blockchain network recorded explosive growth, processing over 64.5 million transactions in 24 hours and attracting 3.07 million returning users. defillama data shows that despite overall market uncertainty, the surge in on-chain activity signals a renewed ecosystem participation.

Spot trading volume, however, tells a different story. CryptoQuant's bubble chart indicates cooling investor interest, creating a clear divergence between network usage and market confidence. The Altcoin continues to consolidate below the critical $180 resistance level, with technical analysts closely watching for breakthrough confirmation signals.

The daily chart may be forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, suggesting fund accumulation. However, without sustained buying pressure, SOLana may fail to pass this critical technical test. The network's increasingly growing utility awaits corresponding price discovery.

SOL Price Prediction: Outlook for 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040

Based on current technical structure and ecosystem development, BTCC analyst Robert offers a phased prediction:

*Note: Predictions based on 30%-50% annual compound growth rate, actual performance will be influenced by regulatory progress and technological iterations