Odaily星球日报讯 Polymarket 数据显示，市场预计特朗普在 2025 年 12 月 31 日之前不会宣布下一任美联储主席人选的概率已升至 91%。在年内宣布的潜在候选人名单中，Kevin Hassett 的胜选概率下降至 4%，Chris Waller 和 Kevin Warsh 的概率分别为 3% 和 2%。
尽管市场此前对特朗普提前锁定美联储领导层的预期较高，但目前的投注趋势表明该任命进程可能较预期有所推迟。

Odaily星球日报讯 Polymarket 数据显示，市场预计特朗普在 2025 年 12 月 31 日之前不会宣布下一任美联储主席人选的概率已升至 91%。在年内宣布的潜在候选人名单中，Kevin Hassett 的胜选概率下降至 4%，Chris Waller 和 Kevin Warsh 的概率分别为 3% 和 2%。尽管市场此前对特朗普提前锁定美联储领导层的预期较高，但目前的投注趋势表明该任命进程可能较预期有所推迟。

Polymarket上特朗普年内不会宣布美联储主席人选概率升至91%

According to data from Polymarket, as reported by Odaily Odaily, the market now expects a 91% probability that Trump will not announce his nominee for the next Federal Reserve Chair before December 31, 2025. Among the potential candidates to be announced this year, Kevin Hassett's chances of winning have dropped to 4%, while Chris Waller and Kevin Warsh have probabilities of 3% and 2%, respectively.
Despite high market expectations that Trump would secure the leadership of the Federal Reserve earlier than anticipated, current betting trends suggest that the appointment process may be delayed more than expected.

According to data from Polymarket, as reported by Odaily Odaily, the market now expects a 91% probability that Trump will not announce his nominee for the next Federal Reserve Chair before December 31, 2025. Among the potential candidates to be announced this year, Kevin Hassett&#39;s chances of winning have dropped to 4%, while Chris Waller and Kevin Warsh have probabilities of 3% and 2%, respectively. Despite high market expectations that Trump would secure the leadership of the Federal Reserve earlier than anticipated, current betting trends suggest that the appointment process may be delayed more than expected.

Polymarket reports that the probability of Trump not announcing a Federal Reserve chair nominee this year has risen to 91%.

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Original article | Odaily Odaily(@OdailyChina)
Author | Asher (@Asher_0210)
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