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🔥 From $10,000 to $250,000? A Panoramic View of BTC Price Predictions for 2026!
We've compiled BTC price predictions for 2026 from 16 leading institutions and crypto influencers, covering three perspectives to reveal the true distribution of current market expectations. 👇
⭐️ Bullish
Standard Chartered Bank, $150,000
Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick lowered his year-end 2026 BTC price target from $300,000 to $150,000, believing that treasury-type buying (DAT) has peaked and future gains will primarily rely on ETF inflows.
JPMorgan Chase, $170,000
JPMorgan Chase maintains its 6-12 month price target for Bitcoin at $170,000. Their upside logic is based on a "volatility-adjusted gold comparison," believing that if the investment proportions of BTC and gold converge, BTC's market capitalization still has 67% upside potential. Ripple, $180,000
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse predicts Bitcoin will reach $180,000 by the end of 2026, primarily due to expectations regarding the long-term prospects of crypto, including improved regulation and institutional adoption.
Ric Edelman, $180,000
Ric Edelman, founder of asset management giant Edelman Financial Engines, predicts Bitcoin will rise 50%–100% in 2026, reaching $180,000. He argues that the 2025 rally was hampered by early holders cashing out and large-scale liquidations, but now that selling pressure has subsided, continued buying by ETFs and institutions will drive a price rebound.
Tom Lee, $250,000
Previously, Fundstrat's Tom Lee predicted Bitcoin would reach $150,000–$200,000 by the end of January 2026. At Binance Blockchain Week in Dubai, Tom Lee even stated that Bitcoin could soon reach $250,000. His core reasoning is the continued expansion of institutional allocation and corporate buying. Bitwise: BTC to New High in 2026, No Price Prediction
Bitwise's Chief Investment Officer, Matt Hougan, predicts that Bitcoin will reach a new high in 2026, breaking the traditional "four-year cycle" logic. His view is based on three points: a weakening halving effect, a possible interest rate cut in 2026, and accelerated institutional adoption, with an overall structural bullish bias towards 2026.
Grayscale: BTC to New High in 2026, No Price Prediction
Grayscale, in its "2026 Digital Asset Outlook," predicts that Bitcoin will reach an all-time high in the first half of 2026, marking the end of the "four-year cycle theory." This is mainly due to strong macroeconomic demand for alternative store-of-value assets and increased clarity in US regulations (including the potential implementation of the Clarity Act), with an overall view clearly biased towards an upward trend in 2026.
Galaxy, BTC Price Uncertain in 2026, Long-Term Bullish Outlook
Alex Thorn, Head of Research at Galaxy, stated that Bitcoin's price movement in 2026 is extremely uncertain, with the options market pricing in an equal probability of $70k and $130k by the end of June next year. Despite this, his long-term bullish view remains unchanged. Due to increased institutional adoption and loose monetary policy, BTC is expected to become a gold-like inflation hedge within two years.
Jocy (@jocyiosg), Founder of IOSG, First Half of 2026 a Policy Honeymoon
2026 will be a new era of institutional-driven crypto, rather than a continuation of the old four-year cycle. He predicts the first half of 2026 will be a period of institutional accumulation. This is based on a significant increase in institutional holdings and a favorable policy window (stablecoin legislation, regulatory clarification), indicating a rise in the price center.
⭐️ Neutral
Citigroup: Three Scenarios – $78,500, $143,000, $189,000
Citigroup predicts BTC will rise to $143,000 in 2026. The core logic is that ETF inflows and a stronger stock market will drive a recovery in risk appetite, and they expect US digital asset legislation (such as the Clarity Act) to accelerate institutional adoption. In a pessimistic scenario, it could fall as low as $78,500, while in an optimistic scenario it could reach $189,000.
Fundstrat: $60,000–$65,000 in the first half of 2026, with a full-year target price of $115,000
Sean Farrell, Head of Crypto Strategy at Fundstrat, predicts that Bitcoin may pull back to $60,000–$65,000 in the first half of 2026, with a full-year target price of $115,000. He believes that while the long-term logic is bullish, Q1/Q2 needs to digest risk events first. The overall strategy is conservative, emphasizing waiting for a more ideal entry point.
VanEck, Sideways Consolidation in 2026
Bitcoin is more likely to experience a year of consolidation in 2026 than a bull run or crash. Bitcoin has already completed approximately a 35% retracement, with a potential maximum drop of about 40%, falling to the $60,000–$65,000 range. They believe the four-year cycle has not yet failed, and the high point has already appeared in Q4 2025.
⭐️ Bearish
Barclays Bank, 2026 Will Be a "Depressing Year" for the Crypto Market
Barclays Bank, the UK's second-largest bank, predicts that 2026 will be a "depressing year" for the crypto market. This may be due to a lack of major catalysts (such as policy changes or new products) leading to a continued decline in spot trading volume. The only potential turning point is legislation such as the CLARITY Act, but this is subject to uncertainty.
CryptoQuant, $56,000-$70,000
CryptoQuant claims Bitcoin has entered a bear market and predicts it could fall to $70,000 in the coming months. If the decline continues, it could reach $56,000 in the second half of 2026. Reasons cited include net selling in ETFs, weak spot demand, slowing growth in key holding addresses, and declining funding rates for long positions in perpetual contracts.
Peter Brandt, $60,000
Senior trader Peter Brandt states that Bitcoin could fall to $60,000 in the third quarter of 2026. He believes the upcoming Clarity Act, while beneficial for industry regulation, is already priced into the market. While not ruling out long-term benefits, he maintains a bearish stance in the short term unless BTC can rebuild its strong trend.
Mike McGlone, $10,000
Bloomberg strategist Mike McGlone believes that in extreme scenarios, BTC could fall to around $10,000 in 2026. The rationale is that ETFs and policy benefits have already been priced in, the number of crypto assets has surged, market expectations have been fully priced in, and funds may be withdrawing from high-priced assets to return to safe havens. BTC prices are facing structural pullback pressure.
⭐️ Summary
Reviewing these viewpoints, several noteworthy signals emerge:
1️⃣ Most optimistic predictions are based on ETF inflows, clearer regulations, and accelerated institutional adoption, but a "consensus on a bull market" has not yet formed.
2️⃣ Neutral conservatives and bears generally believe that the market is still in a digestion phase, with no clear trend reversal point yet.
Which side do you agree with? Welcome to discuss in the comments section! 👏
(Risk Warning: For reference only, not endorsement)

10,000 is just too much.
Hopefully, this will be a resounding slap in the face.
From Twitter
Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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