Is it better to hold contracts long-term or to trade with strategies? Here are some recent trading examples and strategy adjustments during this low-liquidity phase. Honestly, there aren’t many communities left where people are still talking and trading. But my group is still learning, trading, and experimenting. The biggest change after 10/11 is the thin order books, which leads to frequent wicks in both directions. Even though exchanges try to limit market manipulation in various ways, when most of the tokens are on-chain or on external exchanges, it’s almost impossible to define or prove what market manipulation even is. Right now, both majors and some solid alts are barely moving. People imagine there’s someone shorting the highs and longing the lows, but in reality, the lack of strong trends means the risk/reward just isn’t there. That’s why lately, my group has been researching grid strategies more. Current strategy testing: Majors: $BTC — After shorting the 9.35-8.58 range with perps, I haven’t opened any new contract positions. Instead, I’m running a wide-range grid (8.2-10.2). Holding contracts long-term here is just asking to get liquidated. Reasoning: - Christmas and year-end means a lot of institutions are on holiday, so liquidity is trash. - BTC holders are consolidating—supply is getting more concentrated, less scattered. - With low liquidity and concentrated bags, we’re in a waiting game where almost no one is buying or selling, just waiting for direction. I tried the same arithmetic grid and grid count on @okxchinese, and the returns are better on OKX with less slippage. Alts: Been trading $RAVE the most lately—RAVE has some really smart market making behind it. I caught the initial TGE pump and also shorted the 0.073 top recently (check my previous tweets, I don’t do hindsight BS). Also running contract grids on OKX to scalp its volatility. Why? - Did pre-TGE for @RaveDAO so I know their unlock rules; after unlock, the supply isn’t as tight. - The way they manage volatility is smart—big moves without straight up or down spikes, which keeps users safe and fits exchanges’ crackdown policies. - They’ve also built up OI during the hype cycle. If you understand all this, contract grid trading here is a no-brainer. Plus, you can farm the @Mercy_okx RAVE trading competition for extra rewards. Backtesting RAVE’s grid returns are fire. Risks: RAVE just listed on Korean exchange @GOPAX_kr. IMO, getting on tier-1 spot exchanges will be tough, especially without VC backing. That’s why they’re starting to build a Korean community now, but it’s still early days. At least there’s no risk of perp liquidation for now.