ETH: Summary of discussions in the Shuqin Mute Group (18:00:10 ~ 19:00:10)

1. Current Recommended Direction - ETH is expected to continue to fall, with a target price of 1500 or even lower. Short is recommended. - The market is currently in a rebound and consolidation phase. This rebound is a preparation for a larger decline, and it is a "rescue window" so chasing the rally is not recommended. - It is recommended to build positions in batches during periods of extreme market panic (low levels), and wait for subsequent long-term bull market opportunities. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations - It is currently recommended to short with a small position or try a short short, especially near the Bitcoin rebound resistance level (corresponding to the ETH rebound level), you can short one lot, with a profit target of 1500 or even lower. - The key to long-term short positions is to add to them when Bitcoin rebounds and confirms the high resistance zone. The market is expected to continue to decline within 4 months. - The stop-loss position is not clearly defined, but it is recommended to strictly control the risk and avoid chasing highs; the trading rhythm is based on the Bitcoin resistance level of 80,000 and the 83,000-84,000 range. - Timeframe clear: The Fed is not expected to cut interest rates in the next four months, and the market is expected to turn around after the new chairman takes office in June. 3. Adapt to trading styles - This strategy is suitable for stable medium-term trend investing, combined with macroeconomic interest rate policies and market cycle judgments. - Use Bitcoin resistance levels as key points for trading, emphasizing short after a "rebound overextension" and avoiding chasing rallies in the short term. - It is also recommended to test the waters and build positions at low levels during periods of extreme panic, positioning for the next three-year bull market, and to patiently hold your coins and wait. - Not suitable for aggressive short-term trading with quick in-and-out moves; emphasizes trend confirmation and phased deployment.