XRP Price Prediction: XRP might crash to $1 if the Cryptos do this...

$XRP Price Slides as Market Pressure Intensifies

The $XRP price is under renewed pressure as the broader crypto market turns risk-off. After reclaiming the $1 level in late 2024 for the first time in years, $XRP is now correcting sharply, raising a critical question for traders and investors: will $XRP hold above $1, or is a deeper retracement ahead?

By TradingView - XRPUSD_2026-02-04 (1Y)

At the time of writing, $XRP trades near $1.50, down significantly from recent highs and underperforming during the latest market-wide drawdown led by Bitcoin.

$XRP Technical Analysis: Trend Weakens but Structure Holds

From a technical perspective, $XRP is clearly in a short-term downtrend:

  • Lower highs and lower lows dominate the daily chart
  • Momentum remains bearish
  • RSI on lower timeframes is deeply oversold, signalling exhaustion rather than acceleration

However, despite the weakness, $XRP has not yet broken its most important structural level.

Key Support Levels

  • $1.40–$1.35: First demand zone
  • $1.20–$1.10: Strong historical reaction area
  • $1.00: Major psychological and structural support

A sustained break below $1 would mark a failed breakout, but for now, $XRP remains above this critical zone.

Why the $1 Level Is Crucial for $XRP

The $1 level is not just psychological — it is structural.

  1. $XRP spent multiple years below $1
  2. The late-2024 breakout marked a regime shift
  3. Retesting breakout zones is common after strong rallies

If $XRP holds above $1, the move looks like a healthy macro correction.
If it loses $1 decisively, it would signal broader crypto market capitulation, not an $XRP-only issue.

By TradingView - XRPUSD_2026-02-04 (5Y)

$XRP Market Cap and Supply Context

$XRP fundamentals add important context to the price action:

  • Market capitalization: ~$92.5B
  • Circulating supply: ~60.85B $XRP
  • Max supply: 100B $XRP
  • 24h trading volume: ~$4.4B

At $1, $XRP would still command a market cap near $60B, placing it firmly among the largest crypto assets. This makes a prolonged move below $1 capital-intensive and unlikely without a systemic market shock.

Importantly, $XRP does not face sudden unlock risks, and its remaining supply distribution is well known and gradual — reducing dilution uncertainty.

$XRP Price Prediction: Will $XRP Drop Back to Pre-$1 Levels?

Base Case

$XRP consolidates between $1.20 and $1.80, stabilising as broader market volatility cools.

Bear Case

A brief wick below $1.00 during a market flush, followed by a fast recovery.

Deep Bear Scenario

A sustained breakdown below $1 would likely require:

  1. Bitcoin losing a major macro support
  2. A global liquidity shock
  3. Or a Ripple-specific regulatory setback

At present, none of these conditions are confirmed.

$XRP Outlook: Correction, Not Collapse

Despite the current weakness, $XRP’s structure suggests a post-breakout correction, not a full trend failure. The market is digesting macro uncertainty, leverage flushes, and shifting liquidity — conditions that often test, but do not immediately destroy, major support levels.

As long as $XRP holds above $1, the broader bullish structure from late 2024 remains intact.

By TradingView - XRPUSD_2026-02-04 (All)

Final Take

$XRP is under pressure, but the $1 level remains the line that matters. A move toward it is possible; a sustained breakdown below it would require a broader crypto market breakdown.

$XRP, $BTC

Source
Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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