ChainCatcher 消息，据金十报道，CME “美联储观察”显示，美联储到 3 月维持利率不变的概率为 77.3%，降息 25 个基点的概率为 22.7%。到 4 月，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 36.2%，维持利率不变的概率为 58.1%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 5.6%。到 6 月，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 50.2%。

<p>ChainCatcher 消息，据金十报道，CME “美联储观察”显示，美联储到 3 月维持利率不变的概率为 77.3%，降息 25 个基点的概率为 22.7%。到 4 月，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 36.2%，维持利率不变的概率为 58.1%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 5.6%。到 6 月，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 50.2%。</p>

美联储 3 月维持利率不变概率为 77.3%，降息概率为 22.7%

According to ChainCatcher, citing Jinshi, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged by March is 77.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 22.7%. By April, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 36.2%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 58.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 5.6%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 50.2%.

<p>According to ChainCatcher, citing Jinshi, CME&#39;s &quot;FedWatch&quot; shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged by March is 77.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 22.7%. By April, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 36.2%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 58.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 5.6%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 50.2%.</p>

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 77.3%, while the probability of a rate cut is 22.7%.

Author: Heart of Computing Power

Recently, MicroStrategy (Strategy) released its Q4 2025 financial report, which once again shocked Wall Street.

If you only look at the figures, they are simply staggering: a net loss of $12.4 billion in a single quarter, equivalent to a loss of $42.93 per share.

In the same period last year, their net loss was only $670.8 million, meaning the loss has increased more than 18 times year-on-year.

But behind this alarming facade lies founder Michael Saylor's "Bitcoin Treasury Strategy."

However,...

The gamble behind the massive loss of 12.4 billion: Is Strategy turning itself into a "risk amplifier" for Bitcoin?

Editor's Note: Amidst heightened macroeconomic uncertainty and persistently low sentiment in the crypto market, an intriguing divergence is emerging: investor sentiment remains in the "extreme fear" range, yet some asset prices are beginning a slow upward trend.

Recently, the decentralized derivatives trading platform Hyperliquid (HYPE) has become a focal point of community discussion. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes publicly gave a target price of $150 (approximately 5 times the current price), attracting market attention. As of March 12, 2026...

What is the likelihood of HYPE increasing fivefold?

This article is from Kyle Samani.
Compiled by Odaily Odaily(@OdailyChina); Translated by Azuma (@azuma_eth)
Editor's Note: Kyle Samani, the man most adept at shill Solana and the former co-founder of Multicoin Capital who recently made a high-profile exit from the industry, is back!
Last night, Kyle Samani posted a long Thread article on his personal X account. In the article, Kyle Samani once again...