🤙Ray Dalio warns of a “Global Currency War” – Why has gold suddenly become a more important asset than stocks? 1. When Money Becomes a "Weapon" – A Terrifying Message from Ray Dalio Legendary investor Ray Dalio has just made a very noteworthy observation: The world is very close to a “ Capital war”—where money, debt, and access to financial markets are used as geopolitical tools. Not a military war, but a financial war. The signs are becoming clear: - Trade embargo - Blocking access to Capital markets - Control cross-border money flows - Using bonds and public debt as leverage. The most worrying thing is that no one needs to declare war, yet the financial system can still become Shard. This is precisely why global money flows have shifted dramatically in the last two years, with central banks buying record amounts of gold, US bonds experiencing significant volatility, and investment Capital withdrawing from risky markets in shorter cycles. 2. Why is gold rising sharply but still experiencing significant volatility? Dalio argues that investors are misunderstanding gold. Many people see gold as a short-term trading tool, while institutions view it as insurance for the financial system. The nature of gold is not to predict — but to hedge. - When the economy is good, gold becomes less attractive. - During times of instability, gold becomes a safe haven. - When the monetary system is in doubt, gold rises the most. Notable statistics: Gold rose approximately 65% year-over-year before correcting about 16% from its peak. High volatility, but the trend remains defensive. In other words, large swings are characteristic of safe-haven assets during times of uncertainty—not a sign of the end of a trend. 3. What Dalio wants to emphasize: allocation is more important than prediction. Dalio's core philosophy isn't to "buy gold now." He says the biggest mistake is trying to predict short-term gold prices. Instead, determine the proportion of gold in your portfolio and maintain it. This is the mindset of national funds and central banks: - No trading - No timing - Systemic risk management only Gold acts like a "shock absorber" when financial assets experience a crisis of confidence. 4. What does this mean for stock market investors? During a normal cycle: - Stocks = growth - Bonds = stability - Gold = weak However, in the current cycle (multipolar – geopolitical – high debt), stocks are highly volatile, bonds have lost their defensive Vai , and gold has reverted to its original Vai as a currency hedge. This is why central banks are buying gold more aggressively than ever before, defensive money flows are increasing, and market volatility is becoming increasingly "shocking" but short-lived. The market is no longer experiencing long-term collapses but rather "continuous shocks." 5. Strategic Perspective The biggest message from Ray Dalio: We are entering a phase where the structure of the financial system is more important than the economic cycle. This means that we no longer need to analyze interest rates or corporate profits alone, but must also analyze the structure of global Capital flows. Those who do not adapt will see their portfolios become much more volatile than before. Conclude Gold is rising not because of a bad economy, but because of confidence that the financial system is easing its safety margins. Ray Dalio didn't say the market was about to crash. He said systemic risk was increasing, so structural defense was necessary. This was the biggest shift in investment thinking of the decade.
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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