She knows how to find catalog numbers and analyze catalog cycles; she's truly a super individual (?). So, should we buy the dips right now? (2024111120230) Based on the data provided by @wolfyxbt and @coolish, my conclusion is to lie low for now. There will be plenty of opportunities to buy the dips the dip. Although @TingHu888 mentioned in the comments that the actual date and number of days are not exactly 1064, they are very close. The "Kill the Wolf" framework states that it has only been 125 days since the last high, which is about 1/3 of the time, meaning there may be about 8 months of decline or consolidation. Wei Shen's framework states that the peak of Bitcoin's one-sided bull market occurred last October, coinciding with the Nasdaq's 1000-day cycle. This bear market will be more volatile, breaking traditional methods. 1️⃣ The first bull market shown in the chart: January 12, 2015 – December 11, 2017 Correction: Bitcoin's all-time high in 2017 occurred on December 16-17 (approximately $19,500-$19,783), not December 11. ☑️ The high was about 5-6 days later. 2️⃣ The second bull market shown in the chart: December 10, 2018 – November 8, 2021 Correction: The all-time high for 2021 occurred on November 10th (approximately $69,000), not November 8th ☑️ The high differed by about 2 days. 3️⃣ The third bull market shown in the chart: November 7, 2022 – October 6, 2025 Bitcoin did indeed reach an all-time high of approximately $125,836 on October 6, 2025. The figures for the third bull market are correct according to the "Sha Po Lang" (a popular Chinese martial arts novel) formula: the two bear markets lasted approximately 360-370 days each, and currently, only 125 days have passed since the high, which is about one-third of the way through. There may still be about eight months of decline or consolidation. At the same time, the magnitude of each decline is narrowing: -84% -> -78% -> -?%. If you capture 50%-60%... So the price might fall around 62,500 - 50,000. 💡 @coolish's previous tweet mentioned that the further back in time Trump is from the midterm elections, the less likely there will be any positive developments. In other words, the current period has the most variables, and the market will be most difficult to predict. The key will be the period after Q1. The market must change its strategy and break the past bull-bear cycle to reap the rewards for most people. His observation on the slope of the decline shared a few days ago was quite interesting; it seems he was saying that if the current decline is based on the premise that "it's impossible for it to go to zero,"... Panic and market declines may temporarily subside, but this doesn't mean further declines won't occur. A daily drop of $11k/day → another 6 days of decline to zero: Daily panic must slow before February 10th. A weekly drop of $10k/week → another 6 weeks of decline to zero: Weekly panic must slow before mid-March. These two time points also represent periods when market sentiment will change. The market bottom hasn't been reached yet; there may be plenty of opportunities to buy the dips.

Three hours ago, BTC hit a low of 62k. Here's something that might seem silly, but I think it can be helpful in some ways: to correct the impact of surrounding public opinion on one's emotions, allowing one's subjective feelings to detach slightly from the immediate situation. It's about analyzing public opinion sentiment from the perspective of "time > price." A: The three large bearish weekly candles from mid-January to early February, dropped from over 90k to over 60k.

It seems that it's not exactly a one-day difference, because I've always been looking at weekly charts, so there's a possibility of fluctuations of about 7 days. But it's still roughly accurate, with the four-year cycle consistently present.

Haha, actually the accuracy is already quite high. Most people are reluctant to believe that October was a relative high point. 😶‍🌫️