US Government Shutdown Chance 84%… Bitcoin Could Fall Again Source With the federal government's temporary budget deadline approaching, Congress is unlikely to reach an agreement within the deadline, with the probability of a shutdown on February 14th estimated at 84%. - Growing political uncertainty drives selling across risk assets. - Bearish sentiment intensifies following failure to rebound after falling below $70,000. - If selling pressure persists, a drop below $50,000 is not out of the question. * Axel Bitblaze noted that the current structure resembles the pre-2024 bull market, suggesting a potential range-bound trend between $60,000 and $80,000. He believes a volatile sideways movement is likely, rather than a V-shaped rebound.