On Monday's opening bell, Brent crude oil broke through the key $100 threshold, causing a sharp drop in Asian and Japanese stock markets, while the A-shares market remained weak. Polymarket's forecast market predicts the probability of the US entering a recession cycle by the end of 2026, according to the Merrill Lynch clock, has jumped to 40%. However, this forecast market has extremely low liquidity, with less than $85,000. While its signals are not very effective, it is adept at capturing market attention and manipulating market sentiment. Meanwhile, heavily invested in US and Chinese tech stocks, I was shivering in the cold, foggy weather of Chongqing today. Undecided, I consulted a divination master and obtained the hexagram "Feng Bian Da Zhuang" (丰变大壮). Then, I asked Cluade to act as a master of the I Ching numerology school to interpret the hexagram. The interpretation process is omitted, but the conclusion is as follows: Seeing the Dipper at midday does not mean the sun is dark, but rather that it is obscured. Today's impulse to "cut losses" is precisely the "obscuration" indicated by the hexagram—market noise has clouded your judgment of the fundamentals. Calmly guarding the granary is in accordance with the teaching of this hexagram: "With sincerity, things will turn out well."
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Polymarket
@Polymarket
03-09
JUST IN: Probability of US recession in 2026 soars to 40%.
https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-by-end-of-2026/us-recession-by-end-of-2026?via=x-afr2…

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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