Analysts: On-chain prediction market fees are undervalued; Kalshi's reported $110 million in revenue over the past 30 days is highly likely true.

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ODAILY
03-16
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According to Odaily Odaily, in response to Parity's previous prediction market revenue rankings, crypto analyst Dash posted on the X platform that Kalshi's data is highly likely accurate. Based on its fee structure and publicly available taker transactions, its fees are approximately $118 million. If transactions are conducted through Robinhood, a 1% notional amount estimate is more accurate; Kalshi's notional trading volume over the past 30 days is $11 billion.

Furthermore, transaction fees in on-chain prediction markets are often underestimated. Currently, platforms like DefiLlama primarily calculate fees in USD or stablecoin terms, ignoring fees denominated on a per-share basis. Including this per-share fee would result in significantly higher actual fees for platforms like Polymarket, predict.fun, and Limitless, with Predict.fun's fees being approximately 40% higher and Polymarket's approximately 80% higher.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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