Analysis: Bitcoin is fluctuating around $70,000, derivatives are shifting towards defensive strategies, and the market is wary of sharp short-term volatility.

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ODAILY
03-20
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According to Odaily Odaily, the overall crypto market is stabilizing, with BTC currently fluctuating around $70,500. However, derivatives data is showing clear defensive signals, and coupled with rising macroeconomic uncertainty, market sentiment remains under pressure.

Derivatives data shows that Bitcoin open interest (OI) remained stable at approximately $16.9 billion, funding rates returned to a neutral range of 0%-10%, and the three-month annualized basis remained at 2.8%, reflecting a generally cautious institutional stance. The options market exhibited a defensive structure, with the call/put ratio dropping to 43/56, indicating a significant increase in downside hedging demand. Furthermore, short-term implied volatility has inverted, suggesting potential high-intensity volatility in the short term. In the past 24 hours, total liquidations across the network amounted to approximately $308 million, with long positions accounting for 63%. BTC and ETH saw liquidations of approximately $93 million and $81 million respectively. Binance's liquidation heatmap shows that $68,500 is a key liquidation support level that warrants close attention.

On the macro front, crude oil prices fell below the $100 mark to around $96. The possibility of the US considering releasing sanctioned Iranian oil to increase supply initially boosted risk assets, but the trend subsequently reversed, with US stock futures weakening. Nasdaq futures and S&P 500 futures fell by approximately 0.6% and 0.4% respectively, indicating that the market remains relatively fragile. (CoinDesk)

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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