BTC的波动集中度远超其他资产，一个月风平浪静，一个小时走完全部行情

大家可能都听说过 BS 模型不适用于加密期权定价，但到底有多不适合可能缺乏定量的认识。Kończal 在 2025 年发表的论文《基于加密期货合约的期权定价》使用 CME 的 BTC/ETH 期货期权数据对比了 6 个定价模型，BS 模型的误差是最优模型的 3.5-5.5 倍。
论文的核心发现:
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leifu _/

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BTC's volatility is far more concentrated than other assets; a month of calm can see all price movements completed in just one hour.

Source: Synced

Just now, a historic "closed-door" event occurred in the AI community.

Anthropic has officially banned access to OpenClaw using its own subscription plan!!!

Boris Cherny, the creator of Claude Code, announced: Starting at 3 PM EST on April 4th (3 AM Beijing time on April 5th), Claude will block all third-party tools; access to these tools will only be available through additional subscription plans or APIs.

[OpenClaw] This means that thousands of users who rely on OpenClaw for improvements...

Anthropic officially blocks OpenClaw, causing a global developer crisis within 24 hours.

The cryptocurrency market stands at a crossroads, preparing itself for what will happen next. With the ongoing volatility of the financial landscape, Bitcoin ($BTC) has reached a condition of essentia...

Bitcoin Price Stagnation Signals a Massive Volatility Expansion Above the $71,000 Resistance Level

Boris Cherny, head of the Anthropic Claude Code, announced that starting in April 2026 [...]
The article, "Anthropic Subscribes to Claude Code and Bans OpenClaw Lobster! From Now On, Third-Party Tools Will Only Be Available with Paid Quotas," was originally published on BlockTempo, the most influential blockchain ABMedia media.