My wise friend Vincent smiled slightly, a knowing look on his face, and said: "Imagine the whole world is a giant chessboard. The kind the Americans have been watching closely. Is the Middle East important? Of course it is. But the smartest way to play is to let others charge into battle while you control the game from behind. Trump really miscalculated this time. He never expected to be dragged into this quagmire of the Middle East. The real instigators are actually Israel and Netanyahu. Israel's goals are far more aggressive than America's. The United States..." The primary objective was to destroy Iran's missile and nuclear facilities before stopping, while Israel's ambition was to completely overthrow the regime and eradicate the Islamic Republic. Once Iran falls, there will be no force in the Middle East capable of restraining Israel, making it the undisputed regional hegemon. For Netanyahu personally, this war is also a life-saving political spectacle. Israel is about to hold elections, he faces corruption charges, and bears the brunt of the disastrous security failure of October 7, 2023. Now, with the sound of gunfire, his Likud party's poll numbers have immediately rebounded, like a hero returning in time. This explains why Secretary of State Rubio directly told congressional leaders: "Our timing and targets were influenced by the reality that Israel is determined to attack anyway." The situation is now out of control. The International Energy Agency has confirmed that more than 40 energy facilities in the Middle East have been severely damaged, and repairs could take six months or even longer. They warn that this energy crisis is more severe than the oil crisis of the 1970s. The market went completely crazy: oil prices soared due to the Iran war, and everyone started betting on a Fed rate hike. Some things are just unpredictable; you have to be flexible. I remember Ray Dalio speculating on a "grand strategy" at the end of last year, calling the UAE a "paradise in a turbulent world." And what happened? Now even Dubai is getting restless, with large sums of money quietly flowing into Hong Kong and Singapore. At the end of this economic cycle, we seem to have fallen into another chaotic and unsettling era. Why is it that every time we build a "new world order," it's accompanied by explosions and turmoil? This is precisely the geopolitical map in the American mind!