1. Current Recommended Direction - There is a short strategy for BTC in the short term, and it is expected to accelerate its pullback to around 66,000 (the VWAP position in 2024), where there is significant downward pressure. - There are also opportunities to long. It is recommended to tentatively long position in the 63800-64600 range, wait for a pullback to confirm the position, and avoid chasing the price higher. - Long positions already entered in the 66100-64800 range are considered invalid signals and should be stopped out immediately upon entry, indicating that bulls at high levels are cautious and pullbacks are still the main trend; - The overall bias is to "tentatively build positions during pullbacks to prevent the risk of overextending positions during rallies". 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations - It is recommended to use a light position size for BTC long positions, with an entry range of 63800-64600 and a stop loss set at 62300, to strictly control risk; - Previously, long positions in the 66100-64800 range were stopped out to protect the break-even point, with a take-profit target of 67813.7. This indicates that long positions at higher levels need to be stopped out quickly to avoid losses from a price reversal. - For short-term short positions, the target price is 66,000, and the volume-weighted average price is the key support level. - Risk control emphasizes the principle of "stop loss upon entry" to avoid being trapped by chasing high prices. It is recommended to enter the market in batches and strictly implement stop loss. 3. Adapt to trading styles - This strategy is more suitable for combining aggressive short-term and conservative medium-term strategies. Short-term short positions can quickly capture pullbacks, while conservative long positions can be gradually added after the pullback is confirmed. - Relying on the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) as a key price node, it is suitable for swing trading based on technical indicators and trading volume; - Investors are reminded that "a rebound is a window to escape," and long positions at high levels should not be held for too long; quick stop-loss is the key. - Suitable for traders with quick reaction capabilities, emphasizing "trial entry + strict risk control" to avoid blindly chasing highs.
BTC: Summary of wwg community discussions (01:00:11 ~ 02:00:11)
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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