BTC: Summary of discussions in the Shuqin-banned group (18:00:11 ~ 19:00:11)

1. Current Recommended Direction - BTC has recently seen two rebounds to 68,000 that were both met with selling pressure, indicating a weak trend. It is not advisable to long in the short term. - Short at higher levels is recommended. Yesterday, a sharp drop occurred after shorting at the 68,000 resistance level. A small short position can be tried at this level for the third time, but the effect is uncertain. Pay close attention to the next major resistance level of 69,500. If it reaches this level, short without hesitation. - Be cautious when long. The odds of success are higher above 63,000. Currently, there is support at the previous low of 65,000-65,600, where you can aggressively try a small long position. There is support around 66,200, where you can consider a rebound long position. - A full shift to a bullish trend requires Trump to announce a ceasefire. Given the current uncertainty surrounding the war, a wait-and-see approach is advisable, awaiting a catalyst. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations - Short is recommended to be done with a small position at higher levels, especially for the third short position at 68,000. Wait for the major resistance level at 69,500 to short short with a larger position. - For aggressive traders, it is recommended to start with a small long position, with key support levels at 65,000-65,600 and a rebound point at 66,200. - A phased profit-taking strategy avoids taking a large position all at once, especially in an uncertain war environment. - No clear profit-taking or stop-loss prices; relies on dynamic adjustments based on key resistance and support levels; emphasizes aggressive trading based on market conditions. 3. Adapt to trading styles - Suitable for aggressive short-term long and short trading, emphasizing "profiting from both long and short positions", quick entry and exit, and mainly intraday batch trading. - Relies on macro catalysts such as the progress of the war, especially Trump's ceasefire statement, which is key to a bullish turn. - It is not advisable to linger in a trade. The current environment is clearly bearish, so caution is required when operating. This strategy is suitable for traders who can frequently monitor the market and respond quickly.