
                                    <div>
                                      <h3>Market View</h3>
                                      <p>Focus on BTC key levels, waiting for breakout or breakdown</p>
                                      <h3>Trading Strategy</h3>
                                      <p>Based on news, short if bearish sentiment breaks 64939, long if bullish sentiment breaks 69286</p>
                                      <h3>Core Logic</h3>
                                      <p><ol>
    <li>
64939 is support, 69286 is resistance
    </li>
    <li>
direction depends on news-driven breakouts or breakdowns, with further changes in trend after either
    </li>
</ol></p>
                                    </div>
                                    

判断点依然是：64939和69286，怎么看？
1，如果继续有利空，能不能借着利空砸穿64939，向着双锯齿的方向去发展，如果借着利空不能砸穿64939，就就要注意市场的反身性；
2，如果有利好，能不能借着利好突破69286，扩大反弹级别（扩大反弹级别，不一定是单边上涨，而是走势更墨迹，更复杂的走法）。参考图2（2022年）

一，从TGA账户余额和银行准备余额的方面上看，4月10日开始，可能相对来说流动性要开始加速紧缩，具体是：4月10-4月20日是抽水高峰期，4月20-4月末TGA账户余额从峰值开始回落，5月初抽水基本结束，开始放水；
二，从战争的角度来看，川子说预计还得打2-3周，恰好和这个抽水放水的节奏相吻合；  x.com/Guilin_Chen_/s…

陈桂林

Twitter

Key levels to watch are still: 64939 and 69286. What’s your take?

1. If bearish news keeps coming, can we break down below 64939 and head towards a double sawtooth pattern? If the bears can’t push through 64939 even with negative catalysts, we need to pay attention to market reflexivity.

2. If bullish news appears, can we break out above 69286 and expand the rebound? Expanding the rebound doesn’t necessarily mean a one-way pump—it could mean more choppy and complex price action. See chart 2 (2022) for reference.

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