Data: Polymarket's probability that "WTI crude oil will fall to $90 in April 2026" has risen to 89%, a 35% increase in the last 24 hours.

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MarsBit
04-08
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According to Mars Finance, the probability of Polymarket predicting WTI crude oil will fall to $90 in April 2026 has increased significantly, now reaching 89%, a 35% increase in the last 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume of Polymarket's "WTI Crude Oil April 2026 Price" event contract has exceeded $16.859 million. The rules for this event contract are: if the highest price of any 1-minute candlestick chart for the most active month of WTI crude oil futures during April 2026 is equal to or higher than the listing price, the market will declare it "yes"; otherwise, it will declare it "no." Previously, the rules for the WTI crude oil March price prediction event contract were: if the official settlement price of the current most active month (near-month) of the CME Group crude oil futures contract on any trading day is equal to or higher than the listing price up to the last trading day of March 2026, the market will declare it "yes"; otherwise, it will declare it "no." According to Gate data, the current price of WTI crude oil is $92.68, down 16.01% in the last 24 hours. Polymarket will continue to focus on forecasting markets, seeing changes before pricing.

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