Institutions: Reopening the Strait of Hormuz is not difficult, but a full recovery of oil flows may take several years.

Mars Finance reported on April 20th that analysts stated the intermittent shipping in the Strait of Hormuz highlights the uncertainty surrounding this vital global oil and gas chokepoint. However, one thing is clear: even after the fighting subsides, oil flows through this narrow waterway will take months—and possibly years—to recover to pre-war levels. Analysts believe the speed of recovery depends not only on diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran, but also on logistical conditions, the availability of tanker insurance, freight rates, and shipowners' willingness to risk passage. A full rebalancing of the global tanker fleet and the return of Gulf loading operations to pre-war levels are expected to be uneven, potentially taking at least eight to twelve weeks even under favorable conditions. (Jinshi)