Analysis: ETH's bearish pattern points to $1600; BitMine's unrealized losses may exceed $10 billion.

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According to Odaily Odaily, as Ethereum continues to weaken, Tom Lee's BitMine's ETH reserves have suffered paper losses of approximately $7.35 billion. Data shows that ETH has fallen more than 57% from its high of approximately $4,955 in October 2025, and its market share (ETH Dominance) has also declined from approximately 15% to approximately 10%.

BitMine launched its ETH reserve strategy in July 2025 and has continued to increase its holdings after completing a $250 million private funding round. Latest data shows that it currently holds approximately 5.28 million ETH, representing about 4.37% of the total Ethereum supply, making it the world's largest listed ETH reserve company.

Despite widening unrealized losses, Tom Lee remains committed to a long-term accumulation strategy. BitMine has stated it will moderately slow its cryptocurrency purchases but will not abandon its ETH reserve plan, aiming to hold 5% of the total Ethereum supply by December of this year.

However, technical risks are intensifying. Analysis indicates that ETH is currently near the lower edge of a typical rising wedge bearish pattern. If this support is broken, the price could further decline to the $1600 area, representing a potential downside of approximately 25% from current levels. If this scenario occurs, based on BitMine's average holding cost of approximately $3513, its ETH holdings could potentially expand from unrealized losses to approximately $10.1 billion.

Meanwhile, market sentiment continued to deteriorate. On-chain data platform Santiment shows that the ETH social media long/short comment ratio has rapidly declined from over 2:1 at the end of April to nearly 1:1. Analysts say that more and more traders are beginning to view ETH as "dead money" (an asset lacking upward momentum). (Cointelegraph)

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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