When will Fable 5 relaunch? Polymarket predicts a 75% chance of it being released in July.

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In just three days , Claude Fable 5 went from being publicly released to being forcibly removed from app stores by the US government. This morning (14th), Presidential Technology Advisor David Sacks offered a path to unblock it: by patching the jailbreak vulnerability, Fable could be "brought back online".

Soon after, a new betting market appeared on Polymarket a few hours ago: "When will Claude Fable 5 be available to US users again?" As of press time, the total trading volume on this prediction market is approximately $400,000. The market pricing for the three expiration dates is as follows:

  • There is a 12% chance of recovery before June 15th.
  • Recovery rate to 56% by June 22
  • The recovery rate reached 75% before July 1st.

Jailbreak vulnerabilities and selective enforcement: Why Anthropic is dissatisfied.

According to an earlier report by Dongqu, David Sacks, co-chair of the U.S. President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, said the reason for the removal was that a highly trusted partner, trusted by both Anthropic and the U.S. government, found a way to bypass the jailbreak (referring to a trick model that bypasses built-in restrictions) while testing Fable.

However, Anthropic argues that this jailbreak is "narrow and not widespread," and that the same vulnerability exists in other publicly available models such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5, which are not subject to export controls. Anthropic believes that applying the standard of "recalling an entire commercial model due to a single narrow jailbreak" to the entire industry would be tantamount to freezing the deployment of all cutting-edge models.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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