Sector rotation, pay more attention to market share in the near future
macro market
The U.S. dollar index DXY returned to 103 support, and the S&P SPX500 retested its top. At present, the crypto market is still hyped in anticipation of the adoption of ETFs. Just like the benefits of copycats, the anticipated hype and the implementation of benefits are often not the time to take off. It is the good time to continue to enter the market when the benefits are realized and profits are exchanged.
crypto market
1. In the past few days, I have been able to grasp the idea of making a correction during the day due to the pressure. Yesterday, the highest profit was 1,000 points. Ether said in the evening that Ether is stronger than the BTC. Let’s review some currencies in this period. OMG ARB ORDI TIA, PEPE, KNC are all flying, don’t remember that you didn’t pay attention to the order every time you move. The last time the spot price was called was BNB. At least this one can make a profit. What is lost is lost, but what is gained is lost. Grasp what you can grasp. The coins that friends say are soaring have nothing to do with us. Let me give you the coins that I screen daily. Even the least favored omg is 15 points.
2. The best scenario in the past few days is that the BTC goes sideways, Ether rushes, and the copycats follow. Combined with the market share, the market share of the BTC is falling. Since the 1st, BTC is the only one. The daily line weakened once. I wasn't planning to do early trading today, so I thought it would be better to beep a few words. A weakening does not mean the market is over, and a correction of more than a thousand points does not mean it has peaked. As I said yesterday, if you don’t see the peaking signal, don’t listen to the bad guys. In the short term, if at least 4.15 falls below, the structure is broken. Is a correction of 10 points excessive after a 20,000 point increase? I will tell you when I leave the market, and I will do my business with peace of mind. No FOMO, no FUD
Pay attention to the strength and weakness of the day or ma20
Medium and long term: Pressure 4.72 52 Support 3.56 3.48
Short-term: Pressure 4.42 Support 4.28 4.2 4.15
3. Ethereum’s supplementary rise after 2200 is within expectations. This period is considered to be inverse. Recall for yourself what was said in the morning trading a few days ago. The support is 2330 2260.
Let’s talk about Altcoin
ORDI
Talking about ORDI, I think this wave of ORDI needs to be adjusted for a period of time. The reason is: the bottom has risen more than 20 times recently. Generally speaking, the currency of major exchanges has reached the top in the short term if it rises 10-20 times from the bottom. If you don’t believe it, look at all the copycats. A big increase starts from the bottom and reaches the top after 10-20 times. In terms of sentiment, basically it is 100-1000u. Everyone who should get on the bus has got on the bus. It is the focus of the entire network. It's all here, Fomo is too serious. In terms of market value, the market value is 1.2 billion U.S. dollars, which is a big threshold. Many people ask me when I will deploy Ordi again. Let me briefly say: first, I am not sure whether it has peaked at the moment. Second, if it peaks in the future, I will at least cut it by half before I will deploy it again.
arb and OP
The copycat sector that has been the most depressed recently is the second floor. arb and OP finally got out of the independent market. Cancun has not been hyped yet, it has been postponed, and there are still expectations ahead. Looking back on the past, Shanghai was upgraded in April this year and reached its second-tier peak in March. Last year in Ethereum, POW was converted to PoS, and op reached its peak in August.
When will the Cancun upgrade be postponed? It will be hyped two months in advance and reach its peak one month in advance. Good news: Before the upgrade in Cancun, you can still buy bottom chips on the second floor. If you are optimistic about the long term, buy it and take the long term!
The upgrade in Cancun in January is good, and the BTC etf is expected. Everything indicates that the market will be delayed to mid-to-late January. There is a weekly decline this month, you must buy decisively
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