24 years will be a big bull market. The sufficient liquidity brought by ETF and the expectation of interest rate cuts are the basic market. The BTC halving, ETH Cancun upgrade, and the collective launch of many high-quality projects dormant in the bear market are the core thrust.
Bitcoin broke the previous high of US$48,000 and then reached US$52,700. A cross harami appeared on February 15, and the market entered a volatile state. Yesterday, a small star line was closed, but the price did not break the previous high. There were upper shadow lines on February 15 and 16, indicating that there was pressure on the top. From the perspective of volume, the volume of bulls is gradually shrinking, which also shows that the power of Bitcoin's daily bulls is beginning to weaken. In this wave, it rose from more than 38,000 US dollars to more than 52,000 US dollars, an increase of more than 30%, and it was a sharp rise from more than 43,000 US dollars. After a wave of sharp rises, a cross harami pattern appeared, which means that the market is about to enter a shock and accumulate momentum . There is no obvious reversal signal at present, indicating that the market is just fluctuating and there is no sign of a sharp decline.
Let’s talk about specific tracks again
My opinion is that there are three directions that will definitely have good outbreak expectations this year.
1/n. BTC Ecology
Assuming that the BTC ecosystem can reach 1/10 of the market value of BTC, this will be a potential 100-billion-level track. The EVM-compatible technical direction accelerates the construction of a smart contract ecosystem with BTC as the security verification layer. This is based on the core of the West The infrastructure construction that developers have been unable to achieve a breakthrough in after spending several years was solved by smart Shenzhen devs in an extremely ingenious way.
To put it simply, use the existing EVM infrastructure and combine it with certain ZK technology to bring the smart contract ecosystem to BTC. This is not an elegant native solution.
2/n. Sol Ecology
In August 2022, I was talking about Sol. At that time, my view was that the public chain in the future must have a hundred flowers blooming.
It is difficult to build a skyscraper on a wooden barrel. This is something that can be explained from first principles . Performance advantages are on the one hand. Sol experienced the darkest moment after the FTX thunderstorm. The resilience shown by the community and developers was amazing. . This is a community atmosphere that is completely different from BTC and ETH. If the OG behind BTC are middle-aged veterans, the core players of ETH are business elites in suits and ties.
3/n. Ai + Web3.
Sometimes the development of Dapp or Web3-infra cannot start from technical principles. Combined with market sentiment, it is more reasonable to build products that can cover users’ needs or spiritual needs. Ai and the underlying blockchain are in conflict, but advanced technologies based on Ai It is completely reasonable to combine productivity with the economic model empowerment of Web3 and do some things at the application layer.
Web3 is an area that is extremely early and needs attention compared to traditional industries. Combining the hot spots of AI and introducing the liquidity of some traditional funds and the users of Web2 will be a very good narrative. From the secondary market alone Angle
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It seems that the market value of 'AI-related' tokens has exceeded 10 billion U.S. dollars, and the leader TAO is about to exceed 5 billion U.S. dollars in FDV. And if you ask if TAO has any products that can be used, most people don't know and don't care. The hype of the market is here, just close your eyes and buy it.
