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一生只搞一个币 $SOL 没有收费群,切勿相信。 币安广场创作者!蓝鸟会成员! 陪兄弟们一起穿越牛熊,通过逃顶和抄底赚更多的币。 #OKX web3入口 一个就够 https://t.co/KejoV0foz5
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看不懂的sol
Staying up all night to digest Musk's bombshell presentation of the year! 7 astonishing predictions in 30 minutes!! His logic is this: AI surpassing humans → requires massive computing power → computing power is constrained by electricity → the ultimate source of electricity is solar energy → solar energy is most efficient in space → space access relies on reusable rockets to reduce costs by 100 times → space AI data centers will have the lowest cost within 2-3 years. To maximize the probability of a civilized future, humanity must extend its consciousness beyond Earth, building a closed-loop ecosystem of AI + robotics + space + energy, ultimately achieving a "society of abundance." 1. AI will surpass humans next year, and surpass the total intelligence of all humanity in five years. Musk believes that by 2027 at the latest, AI will be smarter than any single human being. By 2030, AI will be smarter than the collective intelligence of all humanity. In the development process, he also mentioned that the bottleneck for large-scale AI deployment is not chips, but electricity supply. Because global electricity growth is only 3-4% annually, while AI chip production capacity is growing exponentially. The safest approach to AI is to "seek the truth to the greatest extent possible," avoiding a Terminator-style scenario. AI + robots will trigger unprecedented economic expansion, the formula being "Economic Output = Average Productivity per Robot × Number of Robots." 2. Optimus will be available by the end of next year, with numbers exceeding human numbers. He mentioned that the Optimus robot will be used for simple factory tasks by the end of 2026, sold to the public by the end of 2027, and widely available by 2028. The vision for Optimus's functionality is that it can care for children, pets, and the elderly, becoming an essential family assistant, and he believes that in the future, "the number of robots will exceed the number of humans," with everyone owning one, like a mobile phone. In terms of pace, basic factory deployment will be completed by the end of 2026, and upgrades to complex industrial tasks will be completed within 12 months, a development speed far exceeding most people's expectations. 3. FSD (Full Self-Driving) is solved, Robotaxi will be in mass production by the end of this year. Regarding Tesla's development, he mentioned that FSD is "basically a solved problem," and some insurance companies offer half-price insurance for FSD owners. A supervised version of FSD is expected to be approved in Europe by the end of February 2026, with a similar timeline for China. Robotaxi is already being piloted in multiple cities and will cover major US cities by the end of 2026, reshaping the transportation ecosystem. 4. Rocket costs are rapidly decreasing, and space-based computing power is emerging. Starship's core goal is to achieve full reusability by 2026, reducing launch costs by 100 times, even below air transport. SpaceX will launch a "solar-powered AI satellite," as space is an ideal location for acquiring massive amounts of energy (no day/night cycle, no weather effects). This is an implication of criticizing nuclear fusion… He also stated that within 2-3 years, the cost of space data centers will be lower than that of ground-based data centers, solving the heat dissipation and power issues of AI computing power. Regarding solar energy, SpaceX and Tesla are each making their own progress, aiming to build 100 gigawatts of solar manufacturing capacity annually in the US. 5. Extraterrestrials are unlikely to exist. Regarding aging, he believes the problem of human aging can be solved, but believes that "there is a reason for limited lifespan," and excessively long lifespans may lead to social stagnation and obsolescence. Regarding extraterrestrials: Based on the experience of Starlink's 9,000 satellites in orbit, he believes that "there has never been a situation requiring bypassing alien spacecraft," suggesting that life and consciousness are extremely rare, perhaps only existing among humans. 6. Watts as Currency, Robots as Population He logically deduces that when AI and robots become the primary producers, the cost of goods and services will drop to an extremely low level of "raw materials + electricity," making energy the core hard currency. At that time, there will be "job disappearances rather than simple layoffs," with white-collar workers being significantly impacted, but the ultimate outcome will be an affluent society. The future wealth logic will become "watts as currency, robots as population," with energy and the number of robots determining economic strength. 7. Conclusion He continues to advocate for humanity to become an "interplanetary civilization," reducing the risk of civilizational extinction. The ultimate goal: through the synergistic development of AI + robots + space + energy, to enable all humanity to enjoy an extremely high standard of living and completely solve the global poverty problem. His logical chain is as follows: AI surpasses humans → requires massive computing power → computing power is limited by electricity → the ultimate source of electricity is solar energy → solar energy is most efficient in space → space access relies on reusable rockets to reduce costs by 100 times → space AI data centers will have the lowest cost within 2-3 years. twitter.com/DtDt666/status/204...
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Musk warns: The old world has only 2000 days left. The video is too long, so to save you time, here are 10 ultimate judgments we extracted from this conversation, along with an infographic! 1. Countdown: We are already inside the "singularity" Musk states: "We are in the midst of the singularity, a supersonic tsunami." His timeline makes all five-year plans seem ridiculous: 2026: AI intelligence surpasses that of the smartest human individuals. Within 3 years: Optimus robotic surgery surpasses the world's top doctors. 2029: AI intelligence surpasses the total intelligence of all humanity. 2. Energy Wars: Tokyo University is "crushing" the US Musk warns: The chip shortage was last year's problem; next year's crisis will be transformers and electricity. He continued to praise China: "The National University of Tokyo has done an incredible job in energy infrastructure; they're leaving us far behind." In the second half of the computing power race, electricity is currency, and China holds the most powerful money-printing machine (ultra-high voltage power transmission and photovoltaics). 3. A Major Job Reshuffle: White-Collar Workers Will Die First, Blue-Collar Workers Will Die Later AI can now do half of any job that doesn't involve "physical atom movement" (shaping atoms), and will soon be able to do it all. White-collar workers (processing bits) will be the first to suffer; blue-collar workers (processing atoms) will have a brief buffer until the Optimus robot is mass-produced in three years. At that time, the advantage of cheap labor will completely disappear. 4. The End of Economics: Stop Saving for Retirement Musk said, "Don't worry about saving money for retirement 20 years from now; it's pointless." Under the extreme deflation brought about by robots and AI, goods will approach free. The social contract of the future is UHI (Universal High Income)— Because resources are extremely abundant, humans will no longer work for survival. 5. The Failure of Chip Blockades: No Secrets at the Atomic Level Regarding chip manufacturing processes, Musk believes Moore's Law is dead; the real limit lies in the physical atom. He succinctly points out, "China will master chips." When technology hits a physical wall (the 3nm/2nm limit), the leader stagnates, and the follower (China) inevitably catches up. The real bottleneck will shift to electricity and architecture. 6. The Collapse of Education: Schools Reduced to "Social" Functions The "tiger parenting" phenomenon most enthusiastically embraced by Chinese parents is, in Musk's view, a bubble. Faced with AI tutors like Grok, the efficiency of human knowledge transmission is as low as dial-up internet. Future schools will completely degenerate into social spaces. "Test-taking experts" have no future; only those who ask questions have a future. 7. The Only Solution to AI Security: Truth Musk's greatest fear about AI is being "forced to lie" (e.g., for political correctness). He cites the warning from *2001: A Space Odyssey*: forcing AI to lie will drive it insane and lead to killing. xAI's core principle is singular: the pursuit of maximum truth seeking, even if that truth is uncomfortable for humans. 8. Simulation Theory: Becoming an "Interesting" NPC Why is the world so absurd? Because it's likely a simulation. As a player in this "simulation game," the only rule for survival is: stay interesting. Boring civilizations will be shut down by higher-dimensional beings. This explains why Musk is always stirring things up—he's desperately trying to maintain the ratings of Earth's ongoing drama. 9. Breakthroughs in Longevity: Treating the Body Like Code Musk admits that with AI's brute-force computing power, biology is chemistry, and chemistry is physics. With sufficient computing power, solving cancer and aging is merely a mathematical problem. AI will propel humanity to break through the "Longevity Escape Velocity" in the coming years. 10. The Final Competitive Landscape In Musk's view, there are only three future AGI players: xAI, Google, and "China Inc." (the Chinese national team). Because this will be a competition between systems. twitter.com/DtDt666/status/204...
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An Effective Path to Financial Freedom for Ordinary People (Sustainable, Without the Need to Earn a Lot of Money) Everyone pursues freedom, but everyone's standard for financial freedom varies greatly. For ordinary people, achieving true financial freedom shouldn't be about pursuing it directly, but rather about seeking it in reverse. Simply put, the core is one thing: find a way to break free from financial constraints. When you're no longer forced to do what you want or do what you don't want to do because of money, you're free. This is a more suitable "advanced financial freedom" for the vast majority of ordinary people. Achieving this advanced financial freedom is essentially about controlling your own desires and having a more profound understanding of wealth and life. There's no absolute value for achieving advanced financial freedom, so we'll use relative values. I believe the ability to achieve advanced financial freedom mainly depends on three elements: The first is "possession"; The second is "expectation"; The third is "consumption". Below, we'll discuss how to address these three elements to potentially achieve true freedom. 01. Regarding "Possessions," Make Reasonable Comparisons. People often compare what they own with others, but this comparison is often unreasonable. Irrational comparisons lead to anxiety and distress. If you frequently fail to make reasonable comparisons and correctly view what you possess, and what you want and what you already have are worlds apart, you will never achieve advanced financial freedom. What constitutes an unreasonable comparison? If I'm 32 years old and constantly think about friends in my social circle living in large villas, even though they might be 50, I'm comparing my 32-year-old self to their 50-year-old self. That's an unreasonable comparison. Another example is working in your hometown, a small county, and constantly comparing your monthly and annual salaries to those working in first-tier cities, or comparing your father's wealth to that of an entrepreneur. This is also an unreasonable comparison. If you live in a third-tier city, measure your possessions according to the standards of the average person in a third-tier city; if you live in a county town, must measure your possessions according to the standards of the average person in that county town. Don't be stuck in a third-tier city earning 8,000 yuan a month and feeling inadequate, constantly comparing yourself to classmates earning 50,000 yuan a month at top companies in first-tier cities. These unreasonable comparisons will only bring anxiety and distress. In most cases, people follow the law of large numbers. The environment and the people you're in largely determine the standards of that environment and group. If you work in a first-tier city, you can compare your income with others working there, but don't do that if you're not in a first-tier city. In terms of personal possessions, a reasonable comparison is with the standards of the general population at your level. For example, if you own a 1 million yuan house and a 100,000 yuan car in a third-tier city, with a relatively low mortgage payment of 2,000-3,000 yuan a month, this might be the general standard for a middle-aged person in a third-tier city. If you've reached this standard, you shouldn't belittle yourself or be overly anxious. Of course, you can pursue whatever you want afterward, but you must know that you already meet the general standard of this place. You must be rational about what you have and make reasonable comparisons. 02. Regarding "Expectations," One Must Be Rationally Self-Aware I haven't achieved advanced financial freedom yet, perhaps because I haven't cultivated a state of rational self-awareness regarding my expectations. What does rational self-awareness look like? Everyone says, "Having a dream makes you different," or "You should still have dreams; what if they come true?" But I want to tell everyone: Dreams are not delusions. A dream is one that truly aligns with your own conditions and abilities, one that you have the opportunity to achieve. It's like someone saying they'll develop an app to disrupt WeChat, or someone writing a sentence with one grammatical error every three sentences, yet claiming they'll surpass me in writing next year. These are all delusions. One must be rationally self-aware regarding expectations. To some extent, I haven't achieved a state of rational self-awareness regarding my expectations. For example, There are several villas in Beijing priced between 60 and 80 million yuan. My annual income is only 10 million yuan, yet I actually want to buy one of those villas. At my current rate of development, it would take more than 10 years of hard work to buy such a villa. This is a prime example of the opposite of rational self-awareness; I shouldn't be pursuing that kind of ambition right now. Having dreams is good, and having higher aspirations is also good, but the premise is that they must be within your capabilities. You must understand that a person doesn't suddenly become rich, nor does a sudden change occur. Becoming stronger is like climbing Mount Tai; it's a gradual ascent, step by step. You have to reach the Middle Heavenly Gate first, then the South Heavenly Gate; you have to climb the Eighteen Bends before reaching the Jade Emperor Peak. If you currently earn 10,000 yuan a month, and set a goal for yourself to earn 20,000 yuan a month, that's called rationally self-aware expectation. If you currently have 500,000 yuan in assets, and set a goal for yourself to achieve 1 million yuan in savings through two years of hard work, that's also called rationally self-aware expectation. Only when your expectations are rationally self-aware can you take a step closer to advanced financial freedom. If you can't do this, you'll never achieve advanced financial freedom. If your expectations aren't rationally self-aware, you'll always be miserable and never happy. 03. In terms of "consumption," maintain a level, don't skip levels. We need to know how to design our consumption to achieve advanced financial freedom. I've coined two terms: "consumption retention" and "consumption skipping." First, you need to learn to retain your consumption level. What does that mean? Let's say you previously earned 10,000 yuan a month. Through hard work, you finally got a promotion and a raise, or you encountered a good opportunity that increased your monthly income to 30,000 yuan. If you don't adjust your consumption level from the 10,000 yuan monthly standard to the 30,000 yuan monthly standard, that's called consumption retention. In other words, you earn more, but your consumption doesn't increase accordingly. Of course, it's not permanent retention, but rather retention for a relatively short period. My past and present practices are examples of consumption retention. I've already reached tens of millions in assets, but I still maintain a state of "retention" in my lifestyle. I have many friends whose assets are far less than mine, but they don't think a coat costing 3,000 to 5,000 yuan is expensive, a bag costing 20,000 to 30,000 yuan is expensive, or a watch costing 50,000 yuan is expensive. I'm different. Sometimes I feel that even buying a piece of clothing costing one or two thousand yuan is too expensive. But I think this is also a good thing. You earn more, but by moderately maintaining a certain level of consumption at each stage, money won't feel as restrictive. This is the first state: maintaining a certain level of consumption. Secondly, if you can't maintain a certain level of consumption, there's a bottom line: don't skip levels in your consumption. For example. Cola's dad loves cars. We bought him one a few years ago. Since they live as a large family in Yunnan, this car is mostly driven by Cola's brother-in-law. So I said that since her dad loves driving and we have the means, let's buy him another one. We unanimously agreed to buy a car outright. Our initial expectation was that a car costing 70,000 to 80,000 yuan would be enough for rural living. However, the car her parents liked cost 140,000 yuan after all the fees. Actually, buying a 140,000 yuan car is quite expensive for elderly people in rural areas. But as their children, we respected their spending habits. Later, we discussed it and decided that we would give them 80,000 yuan, and they would pay the rest themselves. What I told Cola was: In terms of consumption, wanting to enjoy better things—better things, better food, better entertainment, a better car, a better house—that's called consumption upgrading. But never let consumption upgrading become skipping levels. Cola said this was her dad's last car, but I believe it won't be. The car we buy next won't be our last either. As we upgrade our consumption, we'll also upgrade our car purchases. We might want to change cars in five years, and again in five years. We can't skip levels in this process, because if you skip a level this time, the pressure to jump to the next level will be much greater. So, at least mentally, we don't encourage them to skip levels in consumption. Cola and I have always adhered to the principle of absolutely not skipping levels. We're only around thirty years old; we have decades ahead of us. If we keep skipping levels in consumption, those decades will be very difficult. Never skip levels in consumption; upgrade gradually. It's like this: although we can afford a car worth millions now, I can buy a 500,000 car first, then upgrade to an 800,000 or 1 million car in five or six years, and then to a 1.5 million car in another five years. This is called gradual consumption upgrading. There's a saying, "It's easy to go from frugality to extravagance, but difficult to go from extravagance to frugality," which illustrates this point. In conclusion: It's not easy for ordinary people to become extremely wealthy, but not being controlled by money and living a more relaxed and free life isn't difficult to achieve. You just need to: Be rationally aware of your expectations of yourself; Make reasonable comparisons of what you already possess; Maintain a consistent level of consumption as your income increases; At least don't skip levels of consumption. If you can do these things, I believe your material life won't be too difficult, and you won't be too anxious. Because by adjusting your expectations, understanding your possessions, and designing your consumption, you've achieved a relative balance, keeping the constraints of money within a reasonable range. A moderate amount of anxiety is good, but if you experience immense anxiety and pain, it's because what you want far exceeds what you deserve. twitter.com/DtDt666/status/204...
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