Frank Fetter

Frank Fetter

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Only 5.3% of days have seen the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple at a lower level. Yeah it can go lower but I’m running out of ways to say BTC is cheap here.

Things BTC will do again: > Break above STH cost basis > Hit Vaulted Price > Convince everyone it’s a supercycle > Break below True Market Mean > Chop around Realized Price These are the cycles that will continue to play out at higher and higher prices with time.

Bitcoin falls below its True Market Mean price for the first time in 2.5 years. Last time this happened BTC was $29k.

Short-term holders are realizing losses at historic levels on the bitcoin CRASH to $86k.

Guest recommendation: @_Checkmatey_ Part II > The green start to 2026 > State of long-term holder selling > Why TMM ($80k) and STH cb ($98k) matter > Significance of STRC at $100 > Gold > Kangaroos Let's make it happen! @_checkonchain.

Initially, I thought it was the year of Onramp - now i’m thinking it’s the year of “Brian Cubellis”

The bitcoin short-term holder cost basis is at $101k: This represents the ‘recent memory’ price that market participants tend to use as a reference point for sentiment. $BTC

On the recent $BTC selloff, short-term holders experienced the biggest 7-day change in their cost basis since the 2022 FTX bottom at $16k.

The last month of $BTC price action has been diabolical.

What if the bitcoin ETF aggregate cost basis the new bear market floor?

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