Tom Capital

Tom Capital

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Crypto Trader. Currency Trader. Posts are for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR. Follow for TA insights.

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$BTC Not enjoying the price action early in BTC, or crypto in general. It's not clean—choppy and remarkably weak given USD belted and risk-on. We saw a brief rally on Monday to ~72.2k and thats all folks. Monday's open should serve as my pivot for the week: long above, short below, tight risk—especially with NFP on deck and a preemptive warning it may look weak. I suspect crypto will be the number one vehicle to express a surprise downside in US employment, the way it's trading. Be aware.

$BTC My plan for the week ahead Stoch crosses, pointing to sideways consolidation or upside continuation over the next week or so Daily and Weekly Stochastics are resetting from oversold – classic setup for a potential bounce if we close above~$70.2K (weekly) Daily already

*CHINA URGES BANKS TO CURB US TREASURIES EXPOSURE ON MARKET RISK This was out a couple of hours ago, probably worth paying attention to, cant remmeber a time when China has done similar

$BTC My plan for the week ahead Stoch crosses, pointing to sideways consolidation or upside continuation over the next week or so Daily and Weekly Stochastics are resetting from oversold – classic setup for a potential bounce if we close above~$70.2K (weekly) Daily already crossed up above ~$65k Primary target: Retest of the February monthly open at ~$78.7k all things being equal.

$BTC After a relatively straightforward ride lower since October rewarding those who spotted the momentum shift early and positioned accordingly (exits or shorts) We're now reaching that tricky phase in the cycle where the "easy" trade starts to exhaust itself imo. Prices can (and may) still grind lower, but navigating this market is about to get significantly harder. The driver? Late arrivals finally acknowledging the downtrend — after a ~40% decline has already played out — piling into shorts and creating the exact fuel needed for violent counter-trend squeezes. Classic cycle psychology in motion. Suspect we're transitioning from Complacency → Anxiety right now.

$BTC When was the last time BTC took out the previous years lows 🤔📉

$AUD That was pretty hawkish. The hike was expected, but the unanimous decision was not. Another hike is now priced in by May, so a lot is priced into the curve, with the economic impacts of higher rates set to come through over the months ahead. Stopped post-meeting so all square now. Will let the dust settle and continue to look for HTF opportunities if/when presented.

$AUDUSD 🚨RBA Rate Decision Tomorrow – 25bp Hike Largely Priced In🚨 Quick reminder ahead of the big event. My bearish bias on AUD remains firmly in place. Recent price action – with the surge above 0.7050 looking increasingly extended/crowded – has only strengthened my x.com/Tom__Capital/s…

$BTC Should be becoming clear now: BTC is front-running a similar % drawdown in $QQQ/Nasdaq and broader US equities. 📉

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